Cavaliers vs. Rockets - Free NBA Picks, November 9th

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, November 9, 2017 3:48 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 9, 2017 3:48 PM UTC

If there is one thing we’ve learned from the Cavaliers so far this season, it’s that they will have to out-score people. Their once legendary defense has taken a big step back so far this season, and there is a chance that does not improve tonight against the Houston Rockets.

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Free NBA Pick: OVER 116 1HBest Line Offered: at BetOnline


Cavaliers vs. Rockets

So far this season the Cavaliers’ defense has been pretty disappointing, but it also has given us some room to make some money off them. Cleveland is allowing 115.2 points per 100 possessions, which ranks dead last in the NBA.

This is going to improve some as the season goes on, and especially when Tristan Thompson comes back, but until then the Cavs will struggle on that end of the floor.

Now that they are on the road against a tough team, I expect a ton of points to be scored in this one. Houston is playing at a pace of more than 99 possessions per game, and with the Cavs right behind them in that metric, there should be plenty of shot attempts tonight.

However, the Rockets’ has actually been pretty good to start the season. Their numbers are a bit inflated though if you look at the teams they have played. Houston has played the Grizzlies twice, Sacramento, Dallas, Charlotte, Utah, and Atlanta. All of these teams rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency so far, with the Hawks, Mavs, Kings, and Jazz ranking 24th or worse.

So, I’m not ready to give the Rockets credit for being a “good,” defensive team. However, apparently some sharps are, because the total for this one is going down after opening at 232 points.

Even at 227 ½ in the NBA odds board, I am not ready to take the full game over, but I am very interested in the first half total of 116. So far this season, the Cavs are allowing 58.4 points per first half, and over their last five games that has gone up to 62.2 points per first half.

The Rockets have been better allowing just 51.6 points per first half, but as we mentioned above, their defensive stats have been skewed a bit. Houston is scoring more than 60 points per first half recently though, and I see them easily getting to 60 points at home against the Cavs.

Considering both teams have cashed the over in their previous four full game totals, and have been scoring and allowing a ton of points in the first half, take the over at 116 in your NBA picks.

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