Cavaliers-Knicks NBA Picks: Bet a Stronger Cleveland Team at -6.5

Kevin Stott

Friday, November 13, 2015 6:06 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 13, 2015 6:06 PM GMT

Let’s take a quick look at one key game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Knicks in New York, provide any strong recent Trends and Streaks and come up with an NBA pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers -6, 201 vs New York Knicks
LeBron James and the Eastern Conference champion Cleveland Cavaliers (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS) head to Madison Square Garden in New York City tonight to face Latvian Rookie sensation Kristaps Porzingis the New York Knicks (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) in what promises to be an entertaining Eastern Conference game. Oddsmakers have made the visiting Cavaliers solid 6-point favorites (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) with the game’s Total set at 201 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). The Moneyline odds see Cleveland priced at -250 (BetVictor) with the host Knickerbockers lined at +190 on the takeback. The First Half NBA odds see the Heat as -190 chalks wirth New York priced at +150 (Unibet) and a 1st Half ‘Draw’ (Tie) set at -1700 here. The Cavaliers Team Total Points is 103½ (-110, BetVictor) with the Knicks Team Total Points set at 97½. Note: Cavaliers starting SG Kyrie Irving (Fractured Kneecap) is Out for this game.

 

What Can We Expect?
Cleveland (2-1 ATS on Road) and James (25.2 ppg) come in here on a 7-game Win Streak—the Cavaliers haven’t lost since an Opening Night setback to the Bulls in Chicago—while the Knicks (0-4 ATS at Home) lost 95-93 to the Hornets in Charlotte in their last game. This game begins a three-game Road trip for the Cavaliers who in their last outing, beat the Jazz in Cleveland, 118-114. when these two teams met earlier this month (Nov. 4) in Cleveland, the Cavaliers won 96-86 as LeBron scored 11 points in the final 7:13 as the hosts pulled away with the Win. So, what can we expect here? Well it’s Friday night in The Big Apple and LeBron has been hearing about this Kristaps Porzingis (11.6 ppg, 9.0 rpg) dude, so he’ll want to show who’s boss in front of the New York and TV audience crowd. The pace could be quick here (Over is 11-4 ATS L15 games in series here at MSG) and this New York (250/1 to win NBA Championship, Paddy Power) team with Carmelo Anthony (22.7 ppg), Porzingis and Arron Afflalo (12.0 ppg) is exciting and promising but to try to match up over 60 minutes against this Cavaliers team—even with starting SG Irving out—with possibly the best 2nd-stringers in the NBA (Anderson Varejão. Tristan Thompson, Richard Jefferson, JR Smith, Matthew Dellavedova) will be nearly impossible. Defending Eastern Conference champions Cleveland’s usual starting 5 these days is C Timofey Mozgov, PF Kevin Love, SF James, SG JR Smith (filling in for the hurt Irving) and PG Mo Williams. Not only tonight, but all season this will be a hard team to beat with Varejao back healthy, Thompson all signed-up and Irving eventually back someday. The Cavaliers (+275 to win NBA Championship, BetVictor) should get back to the NBA Finals this season.

 

Trends, Reasoning and The Pick
NBA Road Teams were hitting at a remarkable 60.36% clip heading into play on Wednesday night (67-44-1 ATS), but when you’re a Road team that has one of the two best players in the entire NBA as well as the history of the sport itself, then even better, right? Toss in the fact the Knicks are 0-4 ATS at Home at MSG, which sits on top of a Train Station in the heart of it all, and that the Cavaliers are 2-1 ATS on the Road this season, and the 6 points we’re being asked to lay with the favored Cavaliers doesn’t seem so bad. The Cavaliers are just 2-7 ATS in the L9 games played on Fridays—the Under is 7-2 in the Cavs L9 Friday and 7-2-1 in the L10 Road games—but that is such a Random and Dumb Trend that we can toss it in the ocean and wait for the shark from Jaws to come eat it although it has so little meat on the bone that even he may pass it by for some unlucky seal or stray wallaby. Anyway, with LeBron and Love and Mozgov and maybe the best bench in the league, the Cavaliers should win this by around 10-14 points in a fairly high-scoring affair. One team is very good while the other has been very bad and has a new Rookie Latvian cup of holiday coffee to enjoy on a team with a long way to go, even with genius Phil Jackson calling the shots. Take the Cavs as your NBA pick tonight.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -6.5 at Heritage

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