The NBA is all over the place over the next two days, and I am back to help you navigate through the plethora of NBA Odd available for Tuesday, December 2nd.
Bucks vs. Cavs
Before the season started, we probably wouldn’t have given the Bucks a second thought, however through the first month of the season, Milwaukee is looking like a playoff team, and they are doing it with defense. The Cavs on the other hand don’t play any defense outside of Lebron James, and on the year it has been the main reason why their record is not better than a few games above .500. However tonight they play one another, and the NBA Odds have the Cavs as -10 ½ home favorites, with a total of 203.
This is an incredible value for the Bucks here. Once again the Cavs are being overvalued due to their personnel, and even though they have started to look better, their lack of defense is going to prevent them from covering this game. The Bucks have covered three of their last four, and they have also covered nine of their last 13 games. While the Cavs have also covered their last three in a row, I see that streak ending tonight against a constantly undervalued Bucks team. Even on the road, the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, so I don’t see the home crowd in Cleveland giving them too much trouble here.
Free NBA Pick: Bucks +10 ½ at The Greek
Lakers vs. Pistons
The Lakers are on an Eastern Conference road trip right now, and their next stop is in Detroit against the Pistons. Detroit has been a pretty big disappointment this season, but against the Lakers they are -1 ½ NBA Odds favorites, with a total of 205 ½. While I am not shocked by the spread of this game, the total is a bit surprising. At 205 ½, this game is a steal of a value for the over.
Both teams play little to no defense, and even with the Pistons’ talented frontcourt, they will probably give up some points in the paint tonight. On the flip side, those same frontcourt guys are going to tear up the Lakers’ interior defense this evening. That makes the over look even better.
Another note that adds to the value on the over is the return of Brandon Jennings. He has missed the Pistons’ last several games with a thumb injury, but he appears ready to take the court, just in time to face one of the worst defenses against point guards in the league.
The over is 4-1 in the Pistons’ last five games as a home favorite, and it’s 5-2 in their last seven games at home against a team with a losing record. On top of that, if you look at the Piston’s trends at home over the last calendar year, they are 35-17 cashing the over when playing at home, and they’re 39-16 cashing the over after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game. The Lakers on the other hand are 11-5 cashing the over this season, and the over is 6-1 in their last seven road games. Take the over for your NBA pick tonight and don’t look back.
Free NBA Pick: OVER 205 ½