Capper Suggests Picking the Over for 76ers vs. Spurs

Joe Catalano

Monday, November 17, 2014 3:55 PM GMT

Find out how to find NBA betting value in a "Worst vs. Best" scenario, as the Philadelphia 76'ers (0-9) travel to Texas to face the defending champion San Antonio Spurs (5-4).

Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 pm ET at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. 5Dimes Sportsbook list this game as a "slam dunk" for the Spurs as they're a 16 point betting favorite and the total for the game is 194.5 on the NBA odds.

 

0-9
Philly is yet to win a game and if they keep playing defense the way they've been playing, the Spurs will have this game wrapped up at halftime and head coach Gregg Popovich will have his veteran stars sitting for a great deal of the 2nd half.

The 76'ers are allowing 106 points per game while managing just 90 points per contest. With a -16 in the points for/points against differential column, they're not going to win many games. That's not to say the Sixers don't have talent; they have a very young team.

 

Dominance
Previous Philadelphia teams have had a lack of success against San Antonio as they've lost 10 straight games against the Spurs and 26 out of their last 27 games. Things don't appear any better in this game as Sixers star, Michael Carter- Williams is out for this game and Carter Williams is last season's rookie of the year. Expect Tony Wroten to get a bump in minutes and be a major factor in this matchup.

Share your thoughts on our Play of the Day thread.

Tony Wroten 
Tony Wroten has been the one real bright spot on this team in the first 9 games. Other players with major talent such as Nerlens Noel have either been injured or inconsistent on the offensive end. When Wroten gets the playing time, he consistently produces.

He leads the Sixers in scoring with 20.3 points to go along with 6.3 assists, and 4.2 rebounds per game. At 6 foot 6, Wroten has great size for a guard and if he matches up against Tony Parker in the "The Battle of the Tony's", he could give Parker some problems with a considerable size advantage.

Wroten has averaged just 16 points per game in his last 3 games,but that will change here. Look for a huge game out of the Seattle, Washington native with Carter- Williams not playing.

 

Going Through the Motions
It's almost as if the Spurs primary goal is to make the playoffs. It doesn't matter if they get a 1 seed or an 8th seed to Gregg Popovich. His job is to rest his older but talented players, and make sure they endure the 82 game grind healthy.

The results are that the Spurs are just 5-4. In some of these games, Pop has sat Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili while limiting Tony Parker's minutes. He wants last years' NBA Championship MVP, Kawhi Leonard, to have more responsibility and carry this team. Thus far, Leonard hasn't been able to match his play from the NBA Finals.

Leonard is coming off of a 16 point effort in a 94-91 loss to the much improved Sacramento Kings, but he shot just 1 for 8 from 3-point range. The Spurs will need Leonard to pick it up during the season. For the season, Leonard is averaging 13.9 points and 7.3 rebounds. These numbers aren't good enough for Popovich's liking. This is a player that can be one of the best in the league if he's more aggressive. Leonard is great on the defensive end and should give the Philly offense plenty of trouble in this matchup. Look for a big game out of Kawhi.

 

Outcome
I'm not going to touch the side because Gregg Popovich is too unpredictable and 16 points are a lot to lay. Take the over as your NBA pick in this game as the Sixers defense is atrocious and 194.5 is a bit low.

Free NBA Pick- San Antonio/Philadelphia Over 194.5 at 5Dimes