Capper Leans Toward Grizzlies Over Heat for his NBA Picks

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, December 27, 2014 3:04 PM GMT

The Heat host the Grizzlies on Saturday, and we’ll provide you with the pertinent information in order to make you a winning NBA bettor tonight. Read our insightful NBA betting article on this game which includes a very profitable 46-19 ATS betting system.

Grizzlies in South Beach
The Heat will host the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday at the American Airlines Center in Miami with a slated 7:35 ET opening tip. According to the NBA betting odds at Bookmaker, the Grizzlies are a 2.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 190.0. These teams have met once already this season, and Memphis was a 103-87 winner at home on December 7th.

 

Hitting the Wall
The Memphis Grizzlies were off to a terrific 22-4 start to the season, and have since gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4-games heading into tonight. They’re coming off a 117-111 loss last night as a 2.0 point home favorite to the Houston Rockets. The loss dropped the Grizzlies to 2nd place in the Southwest Division, a half game behind Houston. The Grizzlies have seen 8 of their previous 12-games go over the total, and allowed 103-points or more in 9 of those contests.

 

Emotional Win for the Heat
The Miami Heat is coming off an emotional 101-91 win on Christmas Day over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The contest marked the return of former Heat superstar Lebron James who had led them to two world championships, and to last four NBA Finals. The win was just the 2nd in the last 8-games at home for Miami. It also was just the 6th time in their last 21-games that the Heat had eclipsed the 100-point plateau. Miami has seen the last 3, and 9 of their last 12-games go under the total. They’ve been adept at slowing down the pace of the game down to their liking this season. Miami averages just 75 field goal attempts, and allows the opposition an average of 76, both of which are well below NBA standards.

 

NBA Betting System
Any favorite (Memphis), coming off a home favorite straight up loss, against a team from within their own division, versus an opponent (Miami) playing with same season revenge, has seen the favorite go 46-19 ATS (70.8%) during the past 5-seasons. The favorite also won 56 of those 65-games (86.2%) straight up, and had a +9.3 point per game differential in those 65-contests.Considering the small number we’re being asked to cover in this game, the straight up record of the favorite takes on added significance. I’m going to have a small lean toward the road team for one of my NBA picks on Saturday.

Free NBA Picks: Memphis Grizzlies -2.0 over the Miami Heat at Bookmaker

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