Capper Favors Knicks ATS vs. Blazers for his Free NBA Picks

Joe Catalano

Sunday, December 28, 2014 3:44 PM GMT

Will the New York Knicks (5-27) ever get over the hump and win a close game? Join us as we breakdown tonight's matchup between the Knicks & Trail Blazers complete with our free NBA picks. 

The Knicks once again made a tremendous comeback against the Kings only to come up short in overtime. This is a team that's snakebitten and now they must face one of the best teams in the league in the Portland Trail Blazers (24-7). See if we think if the Knicks have any chance of covering the NBA odds spread with our betting pick.

Tip-off is scheduled for tonight at 9:00 pm ET at the Moda Center in Portland, Oregon. This game can be seen on the MSG Network.

Maybe odds makers are giving the Knicks respect as they made the Blazers just an 11 point betting favorite and it could've been more. Odds makers are onto the fact that while the Knicks lose mostly all of their games at 5-27, they manage to fight back and keep the games competitive. Tonight's matchup looks worse than last night's matchup for the Knicks as they have to face the tandem of Damian Lillard and LaMarcus Aldridge.

 

Aldridge Doubtful
We take a quick look at the injury report and find out that LaMarcus Aldridge is indeed listed as doubtful for this game due to illness. This is a huge break for the Knicks as this will open up more space on the inside for Melo to penetrate and Portland isn't very intimidating on the inside with Joel Freeland at center and Thomas Robinson at the power forward.

Although the Blazers rank 1st in the NBA in rebounds, this tandem is far from scary. The Knicks definitely have a chance at making this game competitive and might I say pulling off one of the biggest upsets of the season?

 

Young Talent
I watched the Knicks closely last night as they just couldn't manage to deal with DeMarcus Cousins, but Tim Hardaway Jr. and Shane Larkin looked really good in the loss.

Hardaway Jr., who is known for his offense, had some huge blocks in the game and has great size for a shooting guard at 6 foot 6.. He started the season off very slowly, but has gained momentum and this is a guy that can put up 20 points on any team on any given night. He's definitely a keeper and the Knicks need to figure out how to give him more touches.

Larkin was virtually a throw-in during a trade with Dallas. He really lacks size and isn't the quickest player on the court, but has had his best stretch of games lately.

He's shown the ability to make great passes, is a better shooter than most people thought, plays great defense, and is money from the free throw line. In my opinion, he should be starting and not Jose Calderon, but I don't make the calls. He will give Damian Lillard a much tougher time defensively than Calderon and the Knicks ultimate goal in this game is to stop Lillard from putting up 30 to 40 points without Aldridge.

If New York plays the way that they did against Sacramento, they have a chance, but they must play well early and that starts with Carmelo Anthony, who should be unstoppable in this game.

 

Damian Lillard
This situation is very similar to that of the OKC Thunder. When Kevin Durant is out, Russell Westbrook must pick up the slack and usually has monster games. Lillard might not be at Westbrook's level, but he's fairly close. He will receive a lot of defensive pressure and his play will be the key to this game. He's coming off of a 28 point, 9 assist performance in a victory over Philly, but he did commit 7 turnovers. Cutting down on turnovers needs to be a priority with this superstar for the Blazers to have a good chance at winning this game.

 

Outcome
The Knicks don't win, but are a very competitive 2nd half team. For my free NBA picks, I expect them to keep this game close after a really good showing against Sacramento.

Free NBA Picks:  Bet Knicks +13 at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":338603, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]