By the Numbers: Pistons Poised to Hammer Hawks in Sunday Matinee

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, February 11, 2018 3:29 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 11, 2018 3:29 PM UTC

By the Numbers is a weekly NBA picks column dedicated to delivering premium selections on Sunday's card. Let's see what looks good today in the NBA.

Pistons (27-27 SU, 26-26-2 ATS) at Hawks (17-39 SU, 28-26-2 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Pistons -3½Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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Team Trends

Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in their last seven after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog.

Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.

Detroit is 3-1-1 ATS versus Atlanta over their last five meetings.

Detroit is 14-10 ATS on the road this season.

Analysis

The Pistons saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Friday night, losing to the Clippers 108-95. Had it not been for a Motor City meltdown in the fourth quarter in which the Pistons were outscored 31-15, Detroit would likely be gunning for their seventh consecutive win. Blake Griffin, Detroit's All-Star acquisition via L.A., suffered his first defeat in five outings wearing a Pistons' uniform.

The Hawks are the worst team in the league and have lost their last two games. Friday night they were blown out 123-107 by the Cavaliers as two-point home dogs. Atlanta recently cut loose veteran shooter Marco Belinelli in order to free up more time for 21-year-old shooting guard Tyler Dorsey. The Hawks are clearly using the rest of the season as a tryout for their younger players, gaining them valuable experience for next year.

The NBA odds reflect the Pistons as 3½-point road chalk at most of the top online sportsbooks. We feel this is a generous number for a team that has handled Atlanta with relative ease and recently bolstered their defense with defensive specialist James Ennis. Speaking of defense, that is exactly where Detroit holds a big advantage over Atlanta, as the Pistons rank seventh in the league in that category, surrendering just 103.1 points per game versus Atlanta's nearly 108 PPG (23rd). Ennis is supposed to be suited up for this game and his presence will widen that defensive gap between the two clubs. This is also the first time Atlanta will see Blake Griffin toiling as a Piston.

His offensive presence, in tandem with the top rebounder in the game, Andre Drummond, should be more than enough to not only lead the Pistons to victory but allow them to easily cover the small number. Back Detroit in your NBA picks.

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