By the Numbers: Kings Hold Court in Toronto & No Magic in Motown

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, December 17, 2017 1:10 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 17, 2017 1:10 PM UTC

By the Numbers is a weekly NBA picks column where we analyze game time matchups, historical trends, and the prevailing odds. Let's see what today's short slate brings us as we look for two top premium plays.

Kings (9-19 SU, 12-13 -3 ATS) vs. Raptors (19-8 SU, 15-12 ATS)

* Toronto is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.

* Toronto is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite regardless of venue of 11.0 or greater.

* Toronto is 0-2 ATS vs. Sacramento over their last two meetings in Toronto.

* Sacramento is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss.

* Sacramento is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

* Sacramento is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog.

These teams met earlier this month and the Raptors dribbled out of Sacramento with a 102-87 victory in hand. The venue has shifted to Toronto and there's a strong likelihood that the Raptors will expand their win total after tonight but I see the Kings hanging much tougher than they did a week ago. The Kings came out flat in their last game with the Raptors, falling behind 17-2 to start the game but rallied throughout until eventually wilting against the more talented Toronto squad. I suspect Sacramento will be aware of that and come out with a purpose this time around.

In addition, veteran George Hill will be in uniform tonight after missing last week's game against Toronto for personal reasons. Hill has played more than 28 minutes in three of his last four games, scoring in double figures in all three of those contests. His presence will be a boon to the Kings. Lastly, Sacramento has had three days to prepare for this meeting and has covered the number in four of their last six. The NBA odds are simply giving us too much value on this double-digit road dog to ignore. Back the Spurs in your NBA picks on Sunday.

Free NBA Pick: Kings +12 ½
Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Magic (11-19 SU, 11-18-1 ATS) vs. Pistons (16-13 SU, 18-9-2 ATS)

* Detroit is 5-1 ATS in their last six Sunday games.

* Detroit is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win.

* Detroit is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater.

* Orlando is 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.

* Orlando is 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.

* Orlando is 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

This is the first meeting of the season between these two squads but the Pistons are 3-1 ATS versus the Magic over their last four games held in Detroit. Orlando will be at a huge disadvantage without their two leading scorers Evan Fournier and Aaron Gordon. Both players are averaging 18.3 points per game and lead the team in minutes. Orlando is not very good this season even with their two stars but without them, this should be a cakewalk for a Piston's team that has won and covered its last two contests.

Free NBA Pick: Pistons -10 ½
Best Line Offered: YouWager
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