By the Numbers: Dogs Howling in Sunday's NBA Picks

Bulls Bucks

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, January 28, 2018 3:37 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 28, 2018 3:37 PM UTC

By the Numbers is a weekly column focusing exclusively on Sunday's slate of NBA action. Below we review historical trends, game-time matchups, and the NBA odds to deliver two top selections. Let's see what the last Sunday in January holds in store.

Bucks (25-22 SU, 20-22-5 ATS) vs. Bulls (18-31 SU, 28-18-3 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Bulls +2½Best Line Offered: Bovada

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Team Trends

Chicago is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.

Chicago is 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning record SU.

Chicago is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

Milwaukee is 0-6-2 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.

Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.

Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Game Analysis

The Bulls might be losers in the standings, but if you've been backing them in your NBA picks, they've been money in the bank. That's right, the Bulls are covering the number nearly 61 percent of the time this season and we like them to do it again this afternoon. Chicago has defeated Milwaukee straight up in both previous meetings, as 8½- and 7½-point road dogs.

Although Chicago has lost its past two, we see them bouncing back against a team they match up well with. The Bulls have a huge advantage on the glass, ranked sixth, averaging 45 versus Milwaukee's 38.5 (30th) rebounds per game. That inside game will again tell the tale and give Chicago a significant edge down low. This third meeting between these Central Division foes will shift to the United Center, but the results will be the same as the other two. Chicago, a +2 home underdog on the NBA odds board, will win the game and cash once again for those sharp enough to keep betting them.

Pistons (22-24 SU, 24-20-2 ATS) vs. Cavaliers (28-19 SU, 13-33-1 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Pistons +8Best Line Offered: JustBet

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Team Trends

Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six Sunday games.

Cleveland is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Cleveland is 4-24 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Detroit is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 Sunday games.

Detroit is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.

Detroit is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

Game Analysis

The Cavaliers have been murdering the lemmings, who have been blindly backing them this season. Cleveland has covered the spread in only 28 percent of their games which has spelled disaster for those chalk eaters who hero-worship all things LeBron. Despite the fact the Pistons have dropped their last six SU and failed to cover in five of those, for our NBA picks we will fade the Cavs as the NBA odds continually overestimate this edition of the Cavaliers. Detroit is 7-6 ATS versus Cleveland over the last three seasons and we see them hanging around tonight, staying close enough to cash all those tickets on the road pup.

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