Bucks vs. Bulls NBA Picks as Playoff Series Reaches Game 5: Strong Betting System Applied to Total Odds

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, April 26, 2015 3:24 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr. 26, 2015 3:24 PM UTC

This NBA handicapping professional will be covering Game 5 of the series between the Milwaukee Bucks & Chicago Bulls on Monday. Can the Bulls finally put the pesky Bucks away and advance?

Bulls Look to Close out Bucks on Monday
The Chicago Bulls will host the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday at 8:05 PM ET. This will be Game 5 of the playoff series between these Central Division rivals, and Chicago holds a 3-1 lead. According to the NBA betting odds, Chicago is an 8.5 point favorite, and the posted total is 188.0. The Bulls have gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their four games at home this season versus Milwaukee. Chicago won those four games by an average of 11.3 points per game, and covered by an average of 4.0 points per contest. Milwaukee is coming off a 92-90 win as a 5.0 point home underdog in Game 4, and that contest went under the total of 190.0.


Series Overview
Although the Bulls have a commanding 3-1 series lead heading into Monday’s Game 5, you can certainly make a case that lead may be a bit deceiving. After all, Chicago survived a double overtime thriller in Game 3 at Milwaukee, and came away with a 113-106 win. People interested in placing NBA picks on Chicago must also be concerned with their team not taking care of the basketball of late. The Bulls are averaging a terrible 19 turnovers per game during their previous five contests, and that includes a whopping number of 26 in their Game 4 loss. On a positive note, they continue to play stellar defense. They’ve allowed 92-points or less during regulation time in all four games of this series, and have held Milwaukee to a miserable 39.1% shooting from the field.

The Milwaukee Bucks failed to cover in the first two games of the series at the United Center in Chicago. However they failed by just 4.0 points in Game 1 and 1.0 point in Game 2. Despite those two ATS losses, Milwaukee has gone a very profitable 27-16 ATS (62.8%) on the road this season. In order for the Bucks to have a realistic chance of prolonging this series, they must do a better job on the boards. Chicago has a cumulative 249-212 rebounding advantage through the first four games of the series.

NBA Picks During Playoffs: When to Fade Chalky Top Seeds

NBA Betting Angle
Any team (Milwaukee) with a total of 180.0 to 189.5 that’s facing a divisional opponent (Chicago), and is coming off a home underdog straight up win, resulted in that team going under the total in 23 of those 31-games (74.2%) during the past five seasons.

NBA Picks: Play on the Bucks and Bulls to go under the total of 188.0 at Bookmaker.

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