Bucks to Keep Pace Early With Fast-Starting Warriors

bucks curry

Jordan Sharp

Friday, January 12, 2018 5:21 PM GMT

Friday, Jan. 12, 2018 5:21 PM GMT

Bettors can expect an early offensive explosion when the Warriors meet the Bucks in NBA action Friday -- whether or not Stephen Curry is back for Golden State.

Friday NBA: Warriors vs. Bucks

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3264092, "sportsbooksIds":[238,1096,19,180,169], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":2}[/]

Free NBA Pick: Over 114 1HBest Line Offered: Pinnacle

If Stephen Curry returns to Golden State's lineup tonight, it will help the Warriors tremendously against this above-average Bucks defense. Eric Bledsoe is a solid player but he cannot guard Curry, and it will only help any play on the Warriors in this game.

However, there is a lot of risk in that play as well, and compared to a play on the first-half total, it doesn’t even come close to the first-half value of this game.

At 114 points, the first-half total on the NBA odds board could be a very intriguing over play. If Curry comes back it helps a lot, but the main reason I like it so much is the Warriors’ first-half advanced stats this season. The Warriors lead the league in pace of play in the first half of their road games. Golden State is averaging a pace of almost 107.5 possessions per game in the first half on the road.

If they have Curry to push the pace, there is little chance the Bucks’ defense can slow this Warriors attack. On top of that, Milwaukee also tends to play a little faster at home. While the Bucks own a pace of just 97.9 possessions per game overall this season, in the first halves of home games their pace increases to just more than 99.

Golden State is averaging nearly 64 points per first half in their last five games, and giving up nearly 59 points in that stretch. If the Bucks play up in pace, the first-half total is a great over play in my NBA picks.

comment here