Bucks Live Dogs Against Wounded Warriors

bucks

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, March 29, 2018 4:50 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 29, 2018 4:50 PM UTC

Milwaukee dropped the opener of a three-game road trip Tuesday and now has a chance to turn it around against injury-plagued Golden State. Let’s end the night with a winning bet!

NBA: Bucks (39-35 SU, 30-39-5 ATS) vs. Warriors (54-20 SU, 30-41-3 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Bucks +4½Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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What's Trending

Milwaukee is 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.

Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.

Golden State is 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.

Golden State is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Golden State is 0-8 ATS in their last eight games playing on one day of rest.

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Round Two Tonight On @NBAonTNT!!#FearTheDeer pic.twitter.com/yqWR01wzLP

— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) March 29, 2018
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Analysis

The Milwaukee Bucks are virtually guaranteed a playoff spot unless they suffer a total collapse over their last eight games and either the Pistons or Hornets catch fire. But unless they rack up more wins than losses, their plight is the No. 8 seed in the East and a potential matchup with the currently top-seeded Toronto Raptors. Tuesday night in Los Angeles is not how they want to handle their business down the stretch, as they allowed a fourth-quarter rally by the Clippers to extinguish a four-point lead headed into the final frame. When the dust settled, Los Angeles held Milwaukee to just 16 points in the fourth quarter en route to a 105-98 victory that snapped Milwaukee’s two-game winning streak.

The defending world champion Golden State Warriors have been hit by the injury bug at a crucial point in the season. All-World point guard Steph Curry is sidelined with an MCL sprain and four-time All-Star Klay Thompson is out with a thumb injury. However, the good news for Golden State is that two of their four resident superstars, Kevin Durant (ribs) and Draymond Green (illness), should be back in uniform tonight. Golden State was without all four in their last outing in which they fell 92-81 to the Indiana Pacers as eight-point home dogs.

A quick check of the NBA odds board reveals that many of the major online sportsbooks were reluctant to hang an early line, but 5Dimes was one of the first to issue Golden State -5½. However, that number is long gone and hard to find as the line was vacillating between GSW -3½ to -4½ as of this writing.

These clubs have met just once this season, a 108-94 Warriors road win in January. Curry did not suit up in that one but Durant and Green provided the scoring punch, combining for 47 points. One might conclude that because the two leading scorers in that game will be in uniform for this one that the same results are apt to occur. The Warriors were just 4½-point road favorites in that game and rolled to an 18-point win, so why can’t they do it again, particularly on their home court and favored by an identical margin?

The Durant and Green you’re going to get tonight might be profoundly different than the duo that set the tone six weeks ago. Both are playing for the first time in several games and likely will not be at peak performance. In addition, how long they play is another question as Golden State is firmly ensconced as the No. 2 seed in the West, while Milwaukee needs this game to survive a bum’s rush by those teams nipping at their playoff heels.

Let’s grab the points and back the Bucks in our NBA picks.

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