The New York Knicks are off to a sputtering start. Can Tuesday’s offensive eruption carry into another solid scoring effort as New York hosts Milwaukee? Read on for our Bucks-Knicks NBA picks and predictions.
The Bucks (15-4) have played more home games than any other NBA team. They’ll hit the road on Wednesday to take on a Knicks group (10-11) looking to climb back to .500.
Bucks vs. Knicks Game Info
Date: Wednesday, Nov. 30, 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBA League Pass
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY
Bucks vs. Knicks Odds
Bucks vs. Knicks Odds Analysis
The Bucks opened as 4-point road favorites. They're getting the bulk of the action from the public, pushing the number to Bucks -5.5 at DraftKings and BetMGM. FanDuel lists Milwaukee at -6.
The total opened at 226, and helium has been fueling it across the board. The number is up to 227.5 (-110) at BetMGM, 228 (-110) at FanDuel, and 228.5 (-105 to the Over) at DraftKings.
Bucks vs. Knicks Picks
Bucks vs. Knicks ATS Pick
Bucks -5.5 (-110) ★★★
The Knicks are the worst team in the NBA in covering at home, going just 2-6-1 against the spread. Milwaukee has played so few road games that it’s difficult to gauge the team's performance on the road. However, the Bucks are a standard 3-3 ATS on the road this season.
New York boasts the most potent offensive team, according to efficiency metrics. Inviting teams into shootouts is why the Knicks are below .500. The Knicks are 0-for-2 ATS as a home underdog. Despite the line movement against our pick, the Bucks still offer value at current odds.
DraftKings and BetMGM both feature the Bucks at -5.5, with DraftKings featuring the more preferable odds at -110 compared to BetMGM’s -115. FanDuel lists the Bucks at -6 with -108 odds.
Bucks vs. Knicks O/U Pick
Over 227.5 (-110) ★★★
The Over has hit in just two of the six road games the Bucks have played in 2022-23. But the trends for the Knicks have gone the other direction. New York is 7-2 to the Over at home this season. That's come in conjunction with the Knicks’ poor ATS record at home. Projecting the Bucks to cover only strengthens the correlation with the Over.
The Knicks have played games on back-to-back days three times, with two sailing Over the total. That will be the scenario Wednesday after New York defeated Detroit 140-110 on Tuesday. The Knicks have been scoring well enough to push Milwaukee’s elite defense. Also, New York’s 23rd-ranked defensive efficiency should lead to success for the Bucks offensively.
BetMGM offers the most attainable total of 227.5 with standard -110 odds. FanDuel is listing the number at 228 with -110 odds, while DraftKings would be a book to avoid for an Over bet with the number at 228.5 (-105).
Bucks vs. Knicks Prop Pick
Randle Under 8.5 rebounds (-130)★★★★
Though the Knicks rank inside the top five in rebounds per game, rebounding effectively could be more difficult on Wednesday. The Bucks secure more rebounds per game than any other team in the NBA at 58.5. New York allows 56 rebounds per contest (29th).
Julius Randle has exceeded seven rebounds in just two of his past six games, so take an aggressive approach on the Under here. DraftKings and BetMGM are both showing the line at 7.5, with DraftKings offering the preferred odds at +105 for the Under.
If you like the pick but not that level of aggression, FanDuel is listing the Under on 8.5 at -128.
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Bucks-Knicks picks made 11/30/2022 at 2:15 p.m. ET.