Bobcats +11 vs. Clippers for NBA Picks

David Lawrence

Wednesday, January 1, 2014 1:15 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jan. 1, 2014 1:15 PM GMT

The Los Angeles Clippers are the biggest favorite on the board on Wednesday night as they’re laying 11 points at home on New Year’s Day. However, can you really count on them knowing that they just spent New Year’s Eve in L.A. – possibly partying and clubbing last night? 

The bigger concern for bettors considering laying this big spread on the NBA odds is the Clippers general struggles. They’ve lost three of four and have seemingly lost their way for the time being.

[gameodds]5/251843/?r-1=19-43-349/us[/gameodds]

The Charlotte Bobcats can win because… 

The Los Angeles Clippers are not playing well right now. They’ve lost three of four and while a case can be made that the first couple of losses were acceptable – losses in Golden State and in Portland – the same cannot be said for their latest defeat. The Clippers are coming off their most lopsided loss of the year, which was a 107-88 home loss to the Phoenix Suns. At one point, they trailed by 30. Sure, Charlotte isn’t exactly an NBA championship contender but they’ve been decent this season and are capable of giving the Clippers a run if they are lackadaisical again. 

The Bobcats have been one of the most undervalued teams on the point spread this season as they’ve covered 16 of 22 spreads. They’ve even covered in 11 of their 13 road games. Even though they are only 2-8 straight up against teams with a winning record, they are 8-2 against the spread in those contests. That’s a great sign if you’re thinking of adding them to your sports picks.

The Los Angeles Clippers can win because… 

This is a game where they can get right. Yes, they’ve had some issues of late – particularly on the defensive end – but it’s not like the Bobcats are going to challenge them in that regard. The Clippers have lost three of four but those defeats all came at the hands of Western Conference playoff teams who are all .600 or better; the Bobcats are 14-18. More importantly, each of those teams lights it up on offense and averages 102.8 points per game or more. As for the Bobcats, they’re the league’s second-lowest scoring team with just 92.5 points per outing. 

Los Angeles is 10-3 on the year against teams with a losing record, 13-3 at home and they’ve won 15 of their last 17 as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. There’s a very high probability that they win this game and it’s just a matter of whether they can cover. Given the Bobcats feeble offense, there’s a good chance this game turns into a blowout. 

Outlook & Pick 

Although the Clippers are in a mini-slump, so are the Bobcats and theirs is worse. They’ve dropped four of five, which includes a pair of calamitous losses to Utah, who is the worst team in the West. If they can’t beat Utah, they aren’t beating the Clippers. However, the spread is large and I do expect the Bobcats to keep this game from getting out of hand. They are 3-0 ATS as a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points this season.

The Clippers should get back on track with the win in this spot but I’ll take the Bobcats on the spread with my NBA picks as they’ve been a covering machine this year. 

Pick: Bobcats +11 at 5Dimes

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