Blazers-Spurs An Easy ‘Under’ On Zero Days Of Rest

Saturday, March 16, 2019 3:42 AM UTC

Saturday, Mar. 16, 2019 3:42 AM UTC

The Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs are playing on zero days of rest this Saturday. Of course we’re putting the ‘under’ in our NBA picks.

<p style="text-align:right"><em>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record through Mar. 14: 19-17-1 ATS, 0-4 ML (minus-9.35 units), 29-12 Totals</em></p><p> </p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Portland (42-26 SU, 39-29 ATS) at San Antonio (40-29 SU, 38-30-1 ATS)</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Saturday, 8:30 p.m. ET</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NBA Pick: <a href="" target="_blank">Under</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Best Line Offered: Pinnacle</strong></p><p style="text-align:center">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3568917, "sportsbooksIds":[238,169,1096,19,139], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p> </p><p>You don’t have to be a basketball savant to take the ‘under’ for Saturday’s game between the Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs. They’re both playing on zero days of rest, a fact that’s going to be overlooked by the proverbial “casual bettor.” But if you’re not into totals for some reason, there’s a Plan B for your <a href="">NBA picks</a> that you might like.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>Parlay Bus</strong></h2><p>Here’s the skinny: San Antonio opened as 1.5-point home faves on the <a href="">NBA odds board</a>, and have moved up to –2 as we go to press. But the hoop nerds at FiveThirtyEight project this game as a pick ‘em. There’s the 2-point Malmuth/Sklansky difference we’re looking for between the projections and the actual odds, so if you’re only going to bet the spread for Saturday’s matchup, take the Trail Blazers.<br /><br />We’re willing to take our chances with the ‘under’ here at the ranch. For that matter, why not take both? The underdog-’under’ combo is the classic 2-team parlay, and we’ve got plenty of reason for each of these picks individually. Sure, Portland (Over 36-30-1) and San Antonio (Over 39-28-1) aren’t normally the kind of teams you’ll want the ‘under’ with, but when both teams are playing on zero days of rest? Yes please.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>There’s Never Been A Better Time To Buy</strong></h2><p>You might want to grab that 227-point total while it’s still available, though. Several locations on the odds board have already moved on down as far as 225.5; the consensus surveys show 100-percent support for the ‘under,’ although that could be one out of one respondents at this point. It was just a few minutes ago that the Blazers beat the New Orleans Pelicans 122-110 (Under 233) as 9-point road faves, while the Spurs dusted off the New York Knicks 109-83 (Under 214) while laying 13.5 points at home.<br /><br />The only thing that would make this situation better is if both Portland and San Antonio were traveling between games. Alas, the Spurs are still at home, but that’s also good – the Zombie Chaparrals have the ‘under’ at 18-16 playing at AT&amp;T Center. Must be all that extra effort on defense. Don’t worry about the Blazers, though; they have the total split in twain at 17-17 on the road.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;During their 7-game winning streak, the Spurs rank 1st on defense and 6th on offense per CTG.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;They're playing like a 66.9 win team during that stretch.&lt;/p&gt;— Paul Garcia (@PaulGarciaNBA) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;March 16, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]<br /><br />We’re still waiting on any injury fallout from Friday’s games, but Rudy Gay (plus-0.9 OBPM, plus-0.6 DBPM) played 19 minutes for the Spurs despite catching that flu bug that’s going around, so he might be out of gas on Saturday. We’ll take all the help we can get – make sure Gay takes a sip out of everyone’s water bottle, and may the sphere be with you.</p>
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