Betworthy Trends in NBA: Prime Time not a Good Time for Cavs

Kevin Stott

Sunday, February 11, 2018 7:45 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 11, 2018 7:45 PM UTC

The Cavaliers have been awful in broadcast TV games, and they have another one Tuesday against the Thunder. Let’s look at that trend and others as you ponder NBA picks this week.

NBA Betworthy Trends: Cavs Still Not-Ready-for-Primetime Players1. Cavs an Embarrassing 2-8 SU, 2-8 ATS on Primetime TV

After beating Boston in their season-opening home game, the Cavaliers lost their next eight primetime broadcast network games by an average of 17 points. That prompted LeBron James to say he wanted Cavaliers games off national TV before Cleveland finally won one in prime time in its last outing last week, a 140-138 OT win at Minnesota (MIN -3½). With the ATS cover against the Timberwolves and an ATS cover at Houston two days later on TNT as a 5½-point road underdog in a 117-113 loss, Cleveland has gotten the money just twice in 10 tries in 10 primetime games, prompting Coach Tyronn Lue to ask, “Are we playing to win or are we playing to look good?”

The new-look Cavaliers play at Oklahoma City on Tuesday in a primetime showdown (TNT, 8 p.m. ET), a good spot to back the hosts with your NBA picks and possibly back the "over" depending on the NBA odds board. Cleveland will host Washington a week later (Feb. 22) in another primetime affair -- and another chance to press this betting trend.

2. Knicks an 'Under' Team after 9 Consecutive Overs?

After playing nine straight "overs," the Knicks have become the definition of “reverting to a statistical mean” in the totals market, having played seven consecutive "unders" after Friday night’s 113-88 loss at Toronto (TOR -14, 213). It was the fifth straight SU setback for New York (23-33 SU, 28-28-0 ATS). The Knicks, who lost star Kristaps Porzingis to a season-ending injury last week, were 28-28-0 in the totals market after 56 games, proving what goes up must come down. New York continues to streak in the SU (L5), ATS (L3) and totals (U7) markets.

3. Rockets Keep Rolling Along

The Rockets (41-13 SU, 27-26-1 ATS entering Sunday's game) have been the hottest team in the NBA, winning 14 of 16 and registering 10-6 ATS along the way. The Rockets (6/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, 5Dimes), who hosted Dallas on Sunday, hope to stay hot this week when they visit Minnesota on Tuesday and host Sacramento on Wednesday before the all-star break.

4. Favorite, Home Team 8-0 ATS the L8 Jazz-Blazers Series Meetings

In the Northwest Division series between the Jazz (27-28 SU) and Trail Blazers (31-25 SU), the home team was a profitable 8-0 ATS (as well as 8-0 SU), all in the betting role of favorites the L8 meetings, entering Sunday night's matchup. Utah eight-game winning streak was on the line. The lean here was to the home team/favorites trend and for Utah, which was 4-7 SU vs. divisional opponents.

5. Warriors Might Be Most Efficient Team on Offense, But ...

The defending champions (42-13 SU, 24-30-1 ATS) have been absolutely sieve-like on defense lately, allowing more than 100 points in their L12 straight games. The Warriors were a weak 4-7-1 ATS over that span despite an expected and respectable 8-4 record SU. Next up for the Warriors is Monday's home game against Phoenix (18-38 SU), and Wednesday's road game against Portland.

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