Betting Value Found on Mavericks +6 For Your NBA Picks vs. Hawks

Jake Walker

Monday, February 1, 2016 9:45 PM GMT

Monday, Feb. 1, 2016 9:45 PM GMT

The Dallas Mavericks (28-22) visit Phillips Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks (27-22). The Hawks are a 6-point favorite on the NBA odds board and the total has been set at 199.5.

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NBA Pick: Mavericks +6
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Dallas Mavericks
The Mavericks are on a roll, winning five of their last eight games, including last night's 91-78 home win against the Suns. Deron Williams scored 27 points as Dallas was without Dirk Nowitzki. 

The Mavs average 100.9 points per game on 44.2 percent shooting and they allow 101.3 points per game on 44.7 percent shooting. Dirk Nowitzki leads the way with 17.5 points and 6.7 rebounds, Deron Williams averages 13.9 points and 5.5 assists and Wesley Matthew adds 12.4 points per game.  

 

Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks are desperate for a win, as they have lost five of their last six games, including a 105-87 setback against the Heat last night. Paul Millsap and Al Horford each scored 17 points in the losing effort.  

Atlanta averages 101.9 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting and they allow 99.9 points per game on 44.0 percent. Paul Millsap averages team-bests with 18.0 points and 8.7 rebounds, Al Horford scores 15.2 points and grabs 7.1 rebounds and Jeff Teague adds 14.5 points and 5.5 assists. 


Betting Trends
The Mavericks are 13-14 ATS as an underdog, 1-4 ATS against Southeast Division opponents and 5-6 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 

The Hawks are 12-11 ATS in home games, 8-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 2-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses.      

 

Final Analysis
The Hawks are favored by 6 points on the NBA odds board and the total has been set at 199.5. Atlanta has a lot of talent on their roster and sooner or later they will turn things around and the betting trends might favor them against Dallas but I can't ignore how they have played as of late and I also like the fact that the Mavs will have their best player Dirk Nowitzki back and he will be well-rested after sitting the game against the Suns. Look for a fresh Nowitzki to create matchup problems for the Atlanta defense and keep his team in the game. The Mavericks offer decent betting value at +6 against a struggling Hawks team that might bounce back in this spot but will certainly have a hard time covering 6 points since the Mavericks will have all their roster at their disposal. I like the Mavericks +6 for one of my NBA picks.

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