Betting Trends Suggest Taking Home Favorite Hawks -4.5 Over Raptors

Ross Benjamin

Friday, February 20, 2015 12:33 PM GMT

We’re going to be examining Friday’s game between the top two teams in the Eastern Conference when Toronto and Atlanta clash. We encourage you to read our insightful preview article on this contest, and it concludes with a 31-9 ATS betting angle since 1996.

Battle for NBA Supremacy in the East
The Atlanta Hawks host the Toronto Raptors on Friday at 7:35 PM ET. According to the NBA betting odds at Pinnacle, Atlanta is a 4.5 point favorite, and the posted total is 204.5. This will be the fourth meeting of the season between these teams, and the Raptors have won two of the first three. Atlanta enters this game with a 6.5 game lead over Toronto for the top seed in the Eastern Conference.

 

Raptors continue to Roll
The Toronto Raptors went through a miniature slump in late December and into early January. During that time it saw them lose four in a row, and eight of eleven games. Since that time, they’ve rebounded to win nine of eleven heading into tonight, and that includes their last three in a row. The Raptors have been dynamic offensively for the better part of this season averaging 105.6 points per game. However, over their previous five contests they’ve averaged just 94.6 points per game, and shot a miserable 42.7% from the field.

 

Dominant Home Court
The Atlanta Hawks have gone 25-3 at home this season, including 20-1 in the last twenty-one, and are currently riding a twelve game winning streak at Philips Arena. During this current home win streak, the Hawks covered in nine of the twelve, and the three times they were an ATS loser came as a favorite of 14.0 or more on each occasion. Atlanta will be facing an opponent (Toronto) with a winning percentage of .679, and they’ve gone a perfect 11-0 SU&ATS this season versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 to .750. The Hawks are currently the best three-point shooting team in the entire NBA, converting on 38.9% of their attempts. They’ve also been stellar defensively during the 2014-2015 NBA campaign, ranking fourth in both scoring defense (96.8 ppg.), and defensive field goal percentage (43.4%).

 

NBA ATS Betting Super Angle
The Toronto Raptors have won each of their last three games, and all of those contests took place on their home floor. This will be just the fifth game in eighteen days for Toronto. The combination of these factors sets up an extremely profitable ATS system, and that will be an essential part of making my NBA picks for Friday.

Any home favorite (Atlanta), versus an opponent coming off three consecutive home wins, and that team (Toronto) is playing their 5th game in the last eighteen days, has seen that home favorite go 31-9 ATS (77.5%) since 1996. The average line in those forty contests was 4.5, and the favorite had a large +9.6 point per game differential.

NBA Pick: Atlanta Hawks -4.5 over the Toronto Raptors at Pinnacle