#Betting101: Picking Up the NBA’s Post-Deadline Trash

Jason Lake

Friday, February 9, 2018 1:37 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 9, 2018 1:37 PM UTC

Some interesting deals went down at Thursday’s NBA trade deadline. Which of the league’s “sellers” are worth putting in our basketball picks at a bargain price?

That’s it? Only 10 trades on Deadline Day, most of them minor? OK, there were a few deals earlier in the week, and the Cleveland Cavaliers made a big splash with their moves, enough to make Thursday seem like a big day. But the other contenders stood pat for the most part – even the San Antonio Spurs, who have needs, my friend.

No worries. The Spurs can always lure a veteran free agent or three to help them make another run at the championship. Let’s turn our attention instead to the teams on the other side of the ledger, the ones who shed talent in exchange for draft picks and cap room. The “sellers” at the trade deadline often end up beating the NBA odds, thanks to lowered expectations in the betting market. Who fits the bill this year? Here are the two potential follow candidates:

Sacramento Kings

In: SF Joe Johnson, SG Iman Shumpert
Out: PG George Hill

The Kings (17-36 SU, 22-28-3 ATS) seem to be sellers every year – including last year, when they went 8-17 SU and 12-12-1 ATS after sending DeMarcus Cousins to New Orleans. Nothing quite so drastic this time around; Hill (minus-0.6 BPM) just didn’t fit very well in Sacramento, and they’re going full-on with rookie De’Aaron Fox (minus-4.7 BPM) at point guard. Johnson (minus-3.7 BPM) and Shumpert (minus-4.1 BPM) aren’t exactly undervalued commodities coming back in return. Let’s keep avoiding Sacto for the moment.

Chicago Bulls

In: SG Tony Allen, PF Noah Vonleh, C Willie Reed, C Omer Asik
Out: PF Nikola Mirotic

Now this is interesting. The Bulls (18-35 SU, 29-23-1 ATS) have already been a solid ATS team this year, with most of their success coming after Mirotic (plus-2.1 BPM) returned from that broken jaw he suffered at the hands of teammate Bobby Portis. Chicago has hit a wall, though, losing its last seven SU and (1-6 ATS) entering the weekend. Maybe some reinforcements will help.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

Noah Vonleh has long arms, huge hands and no idea how to play basketball

(I actually like taking a chance on him for the Bulls)

— Ricky O'Donnell (@SBN_Ricky) February 8, 2018

Maybe. Allen (minus-5.7 BPM) hasn’t really recovered from his broken leg and is likely to be waived. Asik (minus-8.6 BPM) is likewise a shell of his former defensive self. Vonleh (minus-3.4 BPM) can play some defense, but he was an epic bust in Portland. That leaves Reed (minus-0.8 BPM), who was performing reasonably well off the bench for the Los Angeles Clippers. Reed was shipped to Detroit in the Blake Griffin trade, and I was wondering why; turns out he faces a six-game suspension over a domestic violence incident. Oh, and the Bulls just waived him.

Chicago might be worth a look for our NBA picks. Maybe Vonleh will get his act together with some extended minutes. He’s still got upside at age 22 as a former Top-10 pick. But let’s see how things shake out in the Windy City before we jump on board – and as always, may the sphere be with you.

comment here