#Betting101: Fading the Knicks on Road Until Further Notice

Jason Lake

Wednesday, December 27, 2017 7:37 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 27, 2017 7:37 PM UTC

The New York Knicks have been an amazing NBA pick this year at Madison Square Garden. But something happens to these guys when they hit the road – something awful.

The people got what they wanted. Phil Jackson left his post as President of Basketball Operations for the New York Knicks in June; he was roundly criticized for his handling of Carmelo Anthony, among other things. But here are the Knicks at 17-16 SU and 19-14 ATS heading into Wednesday’s action. And the crowd at Madison Square Garden is even cheering for 19-year-old rookie Frank Ntilikina, after they booed his selection (by Jackson) at No. 8 in last summer’s NBA Draft.

No wonder they’re cheering now. Winning makes amnesiacs of us all; with Anthony shipped off to Oklahoma City, the Knicks have lit it up at MSG, going 15-6 SU and ATS. But their performance on the road is another story. New York is 2-10 SU and 4-8 ATS in away games, and they’ve got a whole ton of travel coming up after playing a home-friendly schedule to begin the 2017-18 regular season. This could be the start of something special for our NBA picks.

Kanter Measures

Overall, the new-look Knicks have gotten the wins they’ve “deserved” this year. Their 17-16 Pythagorean record matches their actual win-loss record, with a point differential of plus-0.4 against a league-average strength of schedule. But New York has still exceeded market expectation, which was unreasonably low this offseason after the Jackson-Anthony drama. All this for a player who posted a minus-0.7 BPM last year.

Removing Anthony from the equation was good enough, but look what the Knicks got in return from OKC. Enes Kanter (plus-4.2 RPM) has excelled at center, and swingman Doug McDermott (minus-0.5 BPM) has been a useful reserve, canning 42.9 percent of his 3-pointers and salvaging his NBA career in the process. Playing the right players in the right roles makes all the difference.

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Enes Kanter—the New York Knicks’s gifted new center, who moved to the U.S. from Turkey eight years ago—is an outspoken critic of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: https://t.co/lvc6WWr7s1 pic.twitter.com/6DPjb4jVcU

— The New Yorker (@NewYorker) December 26, 2017

That MSG, though. When the Knicks are rolling, so is their home crowd and they’ve been extra-pumped this year. New York will miss that energy on Saturday when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans (17-16 SU, 18-14-1 ATS) at the Squishee King Center. They’ll also be missing swingman Tim Hardaway Jr. (plus-1.6 BPM), who’s been out since Dec. 3 with a stress injury to his left leg. The Pellies are 4-3 SU and 4-2-1 ATS in their last seven games, and both PF Anthony Davis (plus-4.6 BPM) and PG Jrue Holiday (plus-0.5 BPM) are relatively healthy, so this could be a decent enough spot to fade the Knicks. Keep an eye on the NBA odds board to see what price you can get; tip-off is at 7 p.m. Eastern, and may the sphere be with you.

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