Bet Warriors to 'Cover' vs. Celtics

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, March 5, 2014 3:30 PM GMT

Golden State is on their second and final long East Coast road trip, and tonight they head into Boston to play the Celtics. The NBA Odds have the C’s as +4 ½ home underdogs, with a total of 200 points.

In their last East Coast trip, the Warriors cleaned house, however now late in the season, they are struggling to find consistency on the road.

Rodeo #2

Golden State went on a long seven game East Coast swing back in between the end of December and early January, and they played very well on the trip. The Warriors have been a solid road team this season, and that stretch really got the national conversation going on the Warriors. However there was skepticism that the Warriors were ready to compete in the West, because that trip was against some pretty bad teams. Golden State went 6-1 SU on that trip, however things have changed a lot in Oakland since January.

This road trip out East is five games in, and the Warriors are only 3-2 SU. Their two losses though came against East playoff teams in Chicago and Toronto, however they were blasted by the Bulls in that game. Their bright spot came last night against the Pacers, where the Warriors edged out the Pacers for a much-needed win. Even though they are only 4-6 ATS when playing on the back to back, the Celtics are far from the Pacers. Even though they might have a let down slightly after their emotional win last night, I see the Warriors coming back strong tonight in Boston.

Boston is a bad matchup for the Warriors. Golden State trumps them down low with their massive front line, and even though I expect Rajon Rondo to play very well on both ends of the floor, the Warriors simply have too much talent to be beaten by the Celtics. Even though they might hang in the game for a little while, I fully expect the Warriors to cover this spread.

The Sharp Pick

Boston has been freefalling recently, losing six of their last seven games SU, however they are only 3-4 ATS in that stretch. The problem is, the Warriors have been very good on the road against the East this season, and I see it being Boston’s downfall against tonight, even as home underdogs. Boston is only 6-9-1 ATS as home dogs this season, and I see another loss ATS for them tonight.

Golden State is 8-6 ATS on the road against the East this season, and 13-11 ATS against the East overall this year. Even though they are not that good in the stacked West, the Warriors have the ability to beat up on bad East teams, even as they travel.

Boston is only 4-10 SU in their last 14 games overall, and they are only 13-17 ATS at home this season. Golden State on the other hand as gone 13-5 SU in their last 18 overall road games (10-8 ATS) and I see them winning and covering for our NBA pick. The Celtics are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against the Warriors.

My Pick: Warriors -4 ½

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