Minnesota Timberwolves (11-11 SU, 11-11 ATS)
Minnesota was on the back end of back-to-back games and that hasn't been a pretty scenario for the Wolves this season. After pounding the Pistons 121-94, and covering easily as one point road chalk in NBA odds, on Tuesday night the T-Wolves jumped on a plane and flew back to Minnesota to take on the 76'ers the very next night.
Installed as 13-point home favorites by the sportsbooks it was supposed to be an easy night for Minnesota before they began their three-game road trip. But the Sixers had different ideas and vaulted out to a 19 point lead after only one quarter of play. It wouldn't be until 8:26 left in the game when the home team finally took the lead on a Robbie Hummel trey. Minnesota eventually wrested a 106-99 victory from Philadelphia but proved to be a money burner as 13-point chalk in NBA odds.
Kevin Love has been the big man making the big plays this season for the T-Wolves. He had 26 points, 15 boards and 5 assists in their last game which has become the norm for the former UCLA product. In the blowout victory over Detroit, Love posted virtually identical totals of 26 points, 16 rebounds and 7 assists. Along with Kevin Martin and Ricky Rubio this is a high octane offense that can bang the glass with the very best in the league.
San Antonio Spurs (17-4 SU, 11-10 ATS)
While offense is the focal point of the Timberwolves the opposite could be said of the Spurs. They are a defensive oriented team that likes to distribute the ball while controlling the pace and tempo of the game. They are tops in the NBA in assists per game and rank 4th in points allowed, surrendering only 92.8 per contest. Future Hall-of-Famer Tim Duncan leads the team in rebounds and blocks while Tony Parker is the Spurs top point scorer, averaging 17.6 per game.
After losing to Eastern Conference leaders the Indiana Pacers by 11 at home the Spurs had a two game mini-road trip and took their frustrations out on the Raptors and the Bucks. In back-to-back games San Antonio throttled their hosts both nights by the scores of 116-103 over Toronto and the following evening dismantled Milwaukee 109-77 in their most lopsided win of the season. Tonight they fly back home and tip off against the Timberwolves whom they lost to at home in April of last season.
NBA Free Pick:
Oddly enough the T-Wolves have crushed the Spurs in their last two meetings, both dating back to last season. On March 12th the Spurs were installed as 8 ½ point road chalk and got blistered by the score of 107-83. When next the teams squared off next they met in San Antonio with the Spurs favored by 9 ½ in NBA odds but Minnesota did it again and won in convincing fashion 108-95.
The Spurs may be 8-2 at home this season but they are a subpar 4-6 ATS in those games. I'm not convinced that the Timberwolves don't have the Spurs number and match up quite favorably to Tim Duncan and company. I look for Kevin Martin to bounce back after an atrocious game against Philly and Kevin love to keep on truckin' for our NBA pick for this match-up. This San Antonio defense does not seem to stand up well against the board banging Wolves.
Play Minnesota +9 at Bet365.com.