Bet Spurs To Cover Tonight's Spread Against Magic & Cash In with This Solid NBA Pick

Darin Zank

Wednesday, April 1, 2015 1:29 PM GMT

San Antonio continues its push toward the playoffs with a stop in Orlando this evening. Spurs might be getting hot at just the right time, But can they cover the spread on the road tonight?

Spurs-Magic Betting Odds
NBA betting odds board opened the line on this game with San Antonio favored by as few as eight points, others with the Spurs favored by 10. As of mid-Wednesday morning most books were listing San Antonio at -9. Also, the total on this game sat at right around 199 in the early betting.

 

Spurs-Magic: Background
San Antonio has won four games in a row, and seven of its last eight, after beating the shorthanded Heat in Miami Tuesday night 95-81. The Spurs only led by four midway through the third quarter, then used a 13-2 run to pull away. San Antonio, as it's apt to do, shot 50 percent from the floor, and held the Heat to just 41 percent shooting, earning the cover as an eight-point road favorite.

Just before that the Spurs beat Memphis 103-89; just before that they beat Dallas 94-76; and just before that they blew out OKC 130-91.

At 48-26 San Antonio sits in sixth place in the Western Conference; however, it's just a half-game back of the Clippers and Portland, who are tied for the four-five spots, only two games behind third-place Houston and 2.5 games behind second-place Memphis. If they can continue winning, and get some help from elsewhere, the Spurs could still play themselves into a top-four spot for the playoffs.

Orlando is 1-3 on its current five-game home-stand, and 1-9 over its last 10 games, after falling to Detroit last Friday 111-97. The Magic only trailed by a point at the half Friday, but faded from there, and missed on the cover as three-point home dogs.

Orlando actually shot 52 percent from the floor Friday, but got outscored from the FT line 20-8 and lost the turnover battle 17-7.

The Magic snapped a six-game losing streak 12 days ago with a 111-104 upset of Portland; since then they're 0-3 both SU and ATS.

At 22-52 Orlando is just playing out the string on a lost season.

San Antonio has beaten Orlando seven times in a row, including the first meeting between the teams this season back in February 110-103. But the Spurs couldn't cover that night as 13-point favorites, never leading by more than nine points, and by just one with about five minutes to go, before pulling away.

San Antonio shot 52 percent from the floor that night, while the Magic shot 50 percent. And the Spurs hit 14 of 32 from 3-point range, while Orlando hit 10 of 21 from beyond the arc. That's probably why that game played OVER its total of 201.

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Statistically Speaking
San Antonio ranks fourth in the league in FG shooting at 46 percent, fifth in 3-point shooting at 37 percent and fifth in FT shooting at 78 percent. All in all the Spurs are a pretty good shooting team. San Antonio also ranks 12th in FG defense, holding opponents to 44 percent shooting.

Orlando ranks 12th in FG shooting at 45.5 percent, but 29th in FG defense, allowing foes to shoot almost 47 percent from the floor.

 

Betting Trends
San Antonio is 19-18 SU, 18-19 ATS on the road this season.

Orlando is 12-25 SU, 14-22 ATS at home.

The Magic are 9-4 on the OVERS through their last 13 games, mainly because they've been giving up a lot of points.

 

Spurs-Magic Free Pick
San Antonio covered eight points at Miami Tuesday night, and while there's always the chance Coach Pop might rest his vets on the back half of a back-to-back, we see little reason why the Spurs can't cover nine points tonight so add them with confidence to your NBA picks.

Free NBA Pick: San Antonio -8.5 at 5Dimes