Bet The Rockets ATS As Your NBA Picks & Win Big Against Raptors

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, March 6, 2016 5:20 PM GMT

Sunday, Mar. 6, 2016 5:20 PM GMT

The Rockets make their second stop of a five-game road trip in Toronto tonight. Let's peruse the NBA odds and determine who to back in our NBA picks tonight.

Houston Rockets (30-32 SU, 26-36 ATS)
The Rockets have been disappointing all season and nothing has changed recently as the team has lost three of their last four straight up and failed to cover the NBA odds in all four contests. In their only win of their most recent tailspin Houston shot an historical worst from beyond the arc hitting just 3-of-34 yet still won the game 100-95 over the Pelicans but failed to cover the six-point impost.

In their next and most recent outing Houston opened their five-game road trip in the Windy City and lost 108-100 as 1 ½ point road dogs. The Rockets cut an 18 point Chicago lead with just over five minutes remaining all the way down to four with 34 seconds on the clock until the Bulls drew away. The second overall pick in the 2008 draft, forward Michael Beasley, signed with the Rockets on Friday fresh from the Chinese Basketball Association. He played 4:16 of the contest and bucketed his first two points in the NBA since leaving after his stint with Miami last season.

 

Toronto Raptors (41-19 SU, 32-27-1 ATS)
It has been a pleasantly surprising season for the Raptors and their fans as they sit only 2 ½ games behind Eastern Conference leader Cleveland. And it appears Toronto intends to nip at the Cavaliers' collective heels until the bitter end as the Raptors have notched victories in six of their last seven and getting the ATS cover for all those who have included them in their NBA picks in four of those seven contests.

If you tuned in Friday night to watch the Raptors battle the Trail Blazers you saw a show. Heading into the fourth quarter Toronto held a 13-point lead but Portland's Damian Lillard would not be denied scoring 22 of his 50 points in the fourth quarter alone. If it were not for the season scoring high heroics of DeMar DeRozan, who notched 38 points including 24 consecutive makes at the charity stripe, the Raptors could very well have lost this one. Kyle Lowry chipped in 28 points to the winning effort and Jonas Valanciunas secured his team-leading 14th double-double of the season with 17 points and 10 boards. As Valanciunas goes so too go the Raptors are they are now 12-2 when Valanciunas notches a double-double.

 

Betting Analysis
These teams have not met this season but I can tell you that Houston has not won in Toronto in almost a decade. Yet the Rockets' resident superstar James Harden is at his best when he's playing the Raptors as evidenced by his 26.3 scoring average in four career visits to Toronto which is tops amongst any opposition venue in the NBA for Harden.

Both teams can score in bunches with Toronto ranking a deceptive 11th averaging 102.6 PPG while Houston averages 105.5 PPG good for 5th in the league. But the key difference between these two clubs is that Toronto can play defense, allowing just 98.1 PPG ranking them 5th in that category, while Houston ranks 26th surrendering 106.9 PPG. But last season Toronto won by only three at home against Houston while the Rockets blew the Raptors away on their home court 98-76.

Despite Houston coming off a loss last night and a woeful 1-6 ATS mark over their last seven when playing on no rest they are 4-0 ATS over the course of their last four Sunday contests and are 1-0 ATS when getting 6 ½ to nine points on the road. The oddsmakers are simply giving too many points to a team whose scoring leader (James Harden) thrives when playing in Toronto. The Rockets lose but keep it close here.

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Free NBA Pick: Houston +7
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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