With the Knicks likely tired, will the Clippers be able to grab hold early and never let go, or will New York stay competitive all the way through?
While it seems as if the sportsbooks are begging everyone to lay -3 ½ with the Clippers tonight, there is a chance the Knicks stay competitive. Even though the Clippers are 12-7 ATS on the road this season, this line smells very foul. Instead, it looks as if the total of 201 ½ has a lot of value tonight.
When playing on the second night of a back to back this season, the Knicks are 6-3 cashing the over, and I see that trend continuing this evening. The Clippers are very hot offensively right now, and with the Knicks’ shaky defense on no rest, 201 ½ might be a bit too low.
The Clippers are averaging 111 points per game over their last five overall, and over that stretch, they are 3-1-1 cashing the over. They have topped 120 points in their last two consecutive games, and against a tired Knicks team, the Clippers will surely be able to top 100 points and probably more.
Both of these teams are giving up more than 100 points in their respective positions this evening, and against the Western conference, the Knicks are giving up over 102. Combine that with no rest, and you have a great over value tonight after considering the NBA odds in this situation.
The Sharp Pick
Carmelo Anthony should have free roam tonight at home, as the Clippers have very few options when it comes to defending the Knicks’ super star. Melo only play 31 minutes, and he was the leader on New York in that area last night. One of the benefits of getting blown out on the first night of a back to back is they didn’t log heavy minutes. Tyson Chandler only played 26 minutes, and Raymond Felton only logged 29.
The Clippers’ defense on the road has not been great this season, and while the Knicks have had their struggles scoring the ball, at home against LA should lead to at least a score in the mid 90s for NY.
New York has also been good at cashing the over this season going 10-8. While their numbers offensively for the season aren’t that good at home, they have been playing much better at home over the last few weeks. They have scored 98 and 102 in their last two home games, and even though their last two games were on the road, their defense in them was a joke. They of course gave up 117 last night to the Pacers, and on Tuesday night they let the Bobcats drop 108 on them.
This is New York’s fourth game in five nights, and I will be very surprised if the Clippers don’t trounce them for about 120 points tonight, making the over my favorite NBA pick of the evening for this game.My Pick: OVER 201 ½