Bet Magic -3 At Home With Your NBA Picks Against Pistons

Jay Pryce

Wednesday, April 6, 2016 6:06 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 6, 2016 6:06 PM GMT

The Pistons travel to Orlando to take on the hot-shooting Magic on Wednesday. Detroit owns the final playoff spot in the East, and are two wins shy of securing a trip to the postseason. Can they cut the magic number to one tonight?

Detroit Pistons (41-37 SU, 39-38-1 ATS)
The Pistons have a 2-game advantage over the Bulls for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference with four to play. Losers of three of its last five, a win over the Magic will give Detroit its first winning season in eight years.

Detroit has dominated Orlando in recent meetings, going 5-0 SU and ATS in the last five matchups since December 2014. Coach Stan Van Gundy's squad has won by an average scoring margin of 17.8 points, beating the number by 13.2 overall. Better than expected offensive performances have fueled the streak with the Pistons scoring 116.2 points per game on 49.5 percent shooting. They've lit it up from the behind the arc for 43.4 percent, with big-man Andre Drummond posting 21.2 points and 14.8 rebounds per game.

Hitting threes, as is often the case in today's game, is usually the difference-maker in not only winning, but covering the spread as well. If Detroit continues to burn Orlando from downtown, expect more wins. When Detroit shoots above 35 percent from the zone, it is 26-7 SU and 25-7-1 ATS on the season. The offense is coming off a bad shooting night from the area, though, going 5 of 21 in its 107-89 beatdown to the Heat in Miami Tuesday.

For what it's worth, the Pistons have failed to take advantage of poor 3-point defending teams away from home all season, shooting 32 percent from behind the line against opponents allowing 36 percent or better on the year. Detroit is 3-10 SU and ATS in these games. Orlando yields 35.9 percent to foes, 19th in the league.

Drummond has terrorized the Magic of late, but Detroit backers will hope Reggie Jackson is putting up the points in this one. When he drains more than 20 points a game, the Pistons are 21-4 SU and ATS; 10-2 both ways on the road. Jackson is 35 of 73 from the floor lifetime against the Magic's current roster. He's posted 26, 16, and 14 in three matchups since joining the Motor City franchise.

Since the All Star break, the UNDER is 9-2 in Detroit's games away from Auburn Hills. Its a combination of horrendous shooting nights and inconsistent defending keeping the market guessing. In five games since the showcase weekend, for example, the Pistons have failed to reach 90 points. In fact, they've not hit 90 points on the road in 11 games this season, tied with the 76ers and Heat for most in the NBA to not hit the mark.

 

Orlando Magic (33-44 SU, 44-33 ATS)
The Magic are mathematically eliminated from the postseason and are guaranteed to to settle for their fourth losing season in a row. But the year is not totally lost—for sports investors at least. They are tied with the Trail Blazers as the NBA's No. 1 betting team, going 44-33 ATS (57.1%).

Orlando's offense is booming. It's averaging 118.6 points per game over the last five on 54 percent shooting. It tops the league in efficiency over this stretch, scoring 120.1 points per 100 possessions. The franchise has picked up four wins, three of them by 20 points or more, in this span.

Since the All Star break, the Magic are 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS at Amway Center, beating the number in five straight. The OVER is 8-3 as well with the team scoring above their projected team total in nine. Three of the four Magic losses have come against teams scoring more than the NBA average of 102.5 points (Warriors, Cavaliers, and Pacers). The Pistons post 101.7 points per game. They'll have to keep up to continue their recent dominance over Orlando.

Like Jackson with the Pistons, Magic backers hope to see Victor Oladipo have a productive night. The Southeast division squad is 17-5 ATS when he posts 19 points or more a game; he's done so 10 times since the break with Nikola Vucevic missing 13 of the last 16 games with a groin injury.

 

Final Analysis
The buckets are coming easy for Orlando. At full strength again with Vucevic healthy, the team is showing superior ball movement and hitting its open shots. The Pistons offense, on the other hand, is an enigma on any given night. It is averaging 6.1 points below the market's expectations away from home since mid February, posting 81, 94, and 89 points respectively in its last three away games. The Magic take this. Orlando at -3 NBA odds is the play for your NBA picks.

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NBA Pick: Magic -3
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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