Bet Heat vs. Cavaliers Rivalry Clash to Go 'Under' With Your NBA Picks

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, April 2, 2015 1:33 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 2, 2015 1:33 PM UTC

The Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers will renew their rivalry tonight in a nationally televised game. Join us in reading a unique perspective by our NBA consultant pertaining to the total in this contest.

NBA Totals Preview on Thursday Miami/Cleveland Encounter
The Cleveland Cavaliers will entertain the Miami Heat on Thursday. The opening tip is slated for 8:05 PM ET, and it will be the early game of the TNT nationally televised doubleheader. I’m going to be focusing on the total in this contest. According to the NBA betting odds at Bookmaker, Cleveland is a 12.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 200.0. This will be the fourth meeting of the season between these Eastern Conference teams. Miami has won two of the first three, and two of the three also stayed under the total.


Heat Totals Report
The Miami Heat has seen six of the last seven, and eight of their previous ten games go under the total. Included in those results, was five consecutive games in a row on the road going under the number. During those last five on the road, Miami scored 93-points or less in each game. As a matter of fact, Miami has gone under the total in twenty-six of their thirty-seven road games (70.3%) during the 2014-2015 NBA campaign, and those contests averaged only a combined 187.9 points scored. Miami has allowed 99-points or less in six of their last seven games overall.

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Cavaliers Totals Report
The Cavaliers have gone under the total in five of their last six games at the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland. During their last five home games, the Cavaliers allowed 92-points or less in each of those contests, and they’ve also allowed 92-points or less in five of the last six overall. It also must be noted, Cleveland has gone under the total in twenty-three of thirty-six games (63.9%) at home this season.


Final Analysis
Miami isn’t necessarily a great defensive team, but they’ve done a terrific job of slowing the tempo in the majority of their games to a pace which they prefer. The Heat has limited opponents to an average of just seventy-seven field goal attempts per game which is well below the league wide average. During their three meetings this season versus Cleveland, they limited the Cavaliers to 79, 78, and 72 field goal attempts. Considering Cleveland averages eighty-two field goal attempts per game this season, it would be safe to assume that Miami was successful in controlling the tempo in each of those contests. I like this one to play on the low side of the totals ledger for one of my NBA picks on Thursday.

NBA Pick: Miami and Cleveland under the total of 196.5 at BetOnline

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