At essentially every sportsbook we've checked out, the Heat are favored by 2.5 points once again. The O/U is currently trading in the 184 to 185 range, a higher total after the 'over' easily hit in Game 1.
The Heat didn't have much trouble offensively, but they were dreadful on the other end of the court, allowing more points (107) than in any other playoff game so far.
As a team Miami shot 51.3 percent overall, but they only hit six threes (6-of-23 for 26.1 percent), while going 10-of-15 (66.7 percent) from the charity stripe.
LeBron James ended up with 25 points, 10 rebounds, five assists and three steals, Dwyane Wade poured in 27 points on 12-of-18 shooting and Ray Allen and Chris Andersen combined for 26 points and nine rebounds off the bench, but it still wasn't enough for the Heat.
The struggles of Chris Bosh and Mario Chalmers didn't help the cause, that's for sure. Bosh had some wide open looks but couldn't connect, as he finished 4-of-12 (0-for-5 from three) for only nine points and four boards. Chalmers shot 2-of-9 for six points.
As we mentioned though, Miami will be worrying more about their defensive effort, or lack thereof, heading into Game 2. They were outmatched in a lot of areas in Game 1 and won't want a repeat tonight.
Now that's more like it.
Everything was working for the Pacers. They were sharing the ball on offense and getting everyone involved, with all five starters, as well as CJ Watson off the bench, all scoring in double figures. Indiana shot 51.5 percent overall, 42.1 percent from three (8-of-19) and 78.4 percent from the free throw line.
The Pacers were dominant inside and it was good to see Roy Hibbert showing up to play. He recorded 19 points and nine rebounds. Paul George led the way with 24 points, seven assists and five boards, while David West (19 points and seven rebounds), Lance Stephenson (17/8/4) and George Hill (15 points with three threes) all did their thing as well.
If Indiana continues to play with this kind of energy, they're going to be tough to beat. The only trouble is we haven't seen this level of effort and commitment to share the ball on a consistent basis throughout the playoffs.
That makes it tough for us to have faith in the Pacers, regardless of how good they looked in Game 1.
Game 2 Pick
Jordan Sharp has examined this game and believes the 'over' has a great chance of hitting again.
We're going in a different direction, recommending the Heat as one of our NBA picks, while also having a lean on the 'under.' We expect Miami to play much better defensively and we've seen them lock in numerous times before when necessary.
It's rare to see Miami drop two straight games and we don't see it happening tonight. Indiana obviously presents matchup problems, but we're still backing the Heat to make some adjustments and come out hungry to get back on track. We look for the defending champs to even up the series with a win by three or more points tonight.
NBA Pick: Heat -2.5 (and lean 'under')