Bet Dallas over Grizzlies in your NBA Picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, December 18, 2013 2:43 PM GMT

The Memphis Grizzlies are a banged up basketball team right now, which should allow the Dallas Mavericks to cruise to victory Wednesday night. Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting lines for this Western Conference matchup.

Troubling times

Memphis has dropped four games in a row, including a 96-92 setback to the Los Angeles Lakers as 2.5-point home favorites Tuesday, while going UNDER the betting total for a second consecutive contest.

The Grizzlies have lost 10 games at home this season—moving past the total number of setbacks it suffered at FedExForum for the entire 2012-13 campaign.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 10-14 SU and 8-14-2 ATS in December, with the UNDER going 15-9 in that situation.

A solid break

Dallas will take the floor for the first time since picking up a 106-93 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks as 11-point home favorites in the NBA odds last Saturday, as it looks to improve upon its dismal 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS mark when playing with three or more days rest the last two-plus seasons.

The Mavericks are expecting leading scorer Dirk Nowitzki back in the lineup, as he missed the last game due to illness. He is averaging 21.1 points per game, with shooting guard Monta Ellis right behind him at 20.8 in that category.

On the injury front

NBA handicappers need to keep a close eye on the injury report throughout the day, as the Grizzlies will continue to play without starting center Marc Gasol, while first-team point guard Mike Conley is listed as doubtful with a thigh contusion.

Memphis is 3-8 SU without Gasol manning the paint defensively, while it will miss Conley’s contributions on the offensive end, as he’s averaging a career-high 18.2 points per game.

Wednesday NBA Picks of the Day

Series history

The Mavericks have won 29 of 36 home games against the Grizzlies during the regular season, including a 111-99 victory as three-point favorites on Nov. 2.

Dallas has covered the number in four of the last five meetings overall between these two rivals, while the UNDER is on a 5-2-1 run.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers add the Mavericks to their NBA picks for the first half, as they’ve outscored opponents by an average of five points at home in the opening 24 minutes of action.

NBA Pick: Dallas Mavericks First Half 

[gameodds]5/250539/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]