Bet Cavaliers To Cover -7 With Your NBA Picks vs. Celtics

Charles Stark

Saturday, March 5, 2016 6:29 PM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 5, 2016 6:29 PM GMT

The last time the Boston Celtics visited the Cleveland Cavaliers they pulled off a shocking road win. Let's study the NBA odds for tonight's contest.

Tonight the Celtics come to Cleveland again with both teams coming off a back to back. Will Cleveland get back in its rhythm and handle the Celtics this time or will Boston take this game to the wire again?

 

Betting Odds
NBA odds makers have made Cleveland a -6.5 favorite like at Bookmaker -110. At first glance this looks like a bit too much to give the Celtics with both teams in a similar back to back situation. However, for my NBA pick I'm going to back the Cleveland Cavaliers to take care of business at home and win this game by around double digits.

 

Boston Celtics
The Celtics average 106.1 points per game and rank first in the NBA averaging 89.9 field-goal attempts per game. There is a lot to like about this Boston team and they have had a really good February so far. The issue tonight for them will probably be the difficulty of coming off a back to back. They have been decent in back to back contests since January but they have also struggled in a couple games when in this type of situation like losing at Minnesota just a couple weeks ago.

Although they do push the pace more than anybody else statistically in the NBA they are not that good of a shooting team percentagewise ranking 15th, 22nd, and 27th in two point, overall, and three point shooting percentage respectively. Defensively they've been good and rank as one of the better teams in the Eastern conference across the board. However, tonight in this particular situation I believe they will struggle to score enough against the Cleveland team who has been good on their back to backs since January and are looking for a little revenge.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland averages 102.9 points per game and rank fifth in the NBA in both shooting efficiency and effective field-goal percentage. The Cavaliers have had a rough go the last several games but I completely expect them to be focused and tonight against Boston. I made a point the last time I had them on a game in which I went against them against Toronto that they struggle when they don't get up enough shots. In their losses to Toronto, Washington (a game LeBron sat), and Detroit they got up well below their magic number of around 90 attempts per game.

In their last several wins this is around the number of attempts they normally get up and when they do they're extremely difficult to beat. As well, since the beginning of 2016 the Cavaliers are 5-1 overall on their back to backs winning three of those games by double digits. I fully anticipate the Cavaliers to get up the attempts they will need tonight against an up-tempo team like Boston and win this game by double digits.

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NBA Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -7
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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