Bet Bulls +7.5 With Your NBA Picks In High-Scoring Game vs. Hawks

Kevin Stott

Friday, February 26, 2016 6:11 PM GMT

Friday, Feb. 26, 2016 6:11 PM GMT

Let’s handicap and preview this Eastern Conference showdown between the Chicago Bulls and the Atlanta Hawks and offer the top NBA Picks.

 

 

The Chicago Bulls have been struggling lately but a 2-game Win Streak and getting veteran G Derrick Rose back has Pau Gasol and teammates buzzing to try to make a nice 2nd Half run heading into the (hopefully) NBA Playoffs. But the Hawks have handily beaten the Bulls in the first two meetings this year, so this one could go either way. Let's look into any recent Trends, current SU and ATS records, Streaks, Injuries, the L10 meetings in this series and see if there is an NBA pick worth recommending.

 

Odds Overview
All-Star Pau Gasol and the Chicago Bulls (29-26 SU, 22-33-0 ATS) head south to Philips Arena in Atlanta on Friday night to face former teammate Kyle Korver and the Atlanta Hawks (31-27 SU, 27-30-1 ATS) will be in a foul mood, having L3 straight so this third of four meetings between these two Eastern Conference sides should be entertaining. Oddsmakers have opened up the Hawks as 7-point favorites (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) for this one with the game’s Total (Points) set at 208 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). The Money Line (Winner) odds here sees Atlanta priced as -295 Home favorites with Chicago lined at +260 on the takeback (Pinnacle) while the 1st Half line has been set with the Hawks as 3½-point chalks (William Hill) with the 1st Half Total at 102 (William Hill).

 

Chicago Bulls
The Chicago Bulls (11-16 SU Road, 11-16-0 ATS Road) and 1st-year Head Coach Fred Hoiberg have had it rough this year but currently sit in 8th place in the Eastern Conference after a humble W2 streak (3-7 L10), but the Bulls (22/1 to win Eastern Conference, William Hill) have gotten PG Derrick Rose back and the Chicago native (Simeon High School) has played very well over the Bulls L3 games, averaging 26.0 ppg, 5.7 rpg and 4.7 apg. So with the absence to backcourt mate Jimmy Butler (Knee), having Rose (Hamstring) return and step up is imperative but the 27-year-old veteran has admitted to having depth perception issues after having recent Eye Surgery and sat out Wednesday’s game against the Wizards and is listed as Questionable (on Friday morning) for this game.

Chicago is an impressive 6-1 SU without Rose. In their last game, the Bulls (66/1 to win NBA championship, Stan James)—who had covered 3 in a row heading in but still had one of the worst ATS marks in the NBA—hosted John Wall and Washington on Wednesday (CHI -1½, 213, Pinnacle), and Chicago emerged victorious, 109-104 as all five Bulls starters were in double figures. Filling in for injured starting G’s Rose and Butler, E’Twaun Moore (17 points) and SG Mike Dunleavy (14 points) did their part while PF Taj Gibson (17 points), C Pau Gasol (10 points)—coming off the Flu—and Tony Snell (16 points) all played solid games for this beat-up (and apparently sick) Chicago team. The Bulls have had 8 different players miss starts for a total of 60 lost games since Jan. 9. Besides the Injury and absence of star G’s Rose and Butler, C Joakim Noah (Shoulder) is Out for the Season and PF Nikola Mirotic (Appendix) is Out Indefinitely, so this team is and has been without many key components this season and the Point Spreads in Bulls (101.8 AF-102.3 AA) games now reflect the somewhat Walking Dead nature of this basketball team.

 

Atlanta Hawks
The Atlanta Hawks (17-12 SU Home, 14-15 ATS Home) have L3, since the All-Star Break, all at Home, the last coming on Monday night, 102-92, to the defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors (GSW -6, 226½, Under) in Atlanta. In the setback, Atlanta was led by C Al Horford (23 points), G Dennis Schroder (18 points), G Jeff Teague (16 points), G Tim Hardaway Jr. (12 points) and F Paul Millsap (11 points) and the Hawks rallied to make a comeback in the 2nd Half but just couldn’t match baskets with Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson & Company. Atlanta (102.5 AF-100.3 AA) and Head Coach Mike Budenholzer can’t be pleased with this poor start in the Regular Season’s (theoretical) 2nd Half which now finds the Hawks (66/1 NBA odds to win NBA championship, Marathon) in 6th-place, just ½ game ahead of the 8th-place Bulls in the Eastern Conference standings so these two teams could possibly flip-flop in the standings with a Chicago victory.

Last week the Hawks (102.7 AF-100.2 AA) and PG Jeff Teague got the bad news that backup C Tiago Splitter (Hip) will require surgery and will be missing the rest of the season as well as the opportunity to play for his native Brazil in the 2016 Summer Olympics. Outside of Splitter, Atlanta (20/1 to win Eastern Conference, Marathon) is relatively healthy and with Korver , SG Kirk Hinrich (both former Bulls) and SF Kent Bazemore (11.9 ppg) can score with the best of them, making the Over the first thought here on Friday.

 

Recent Trends, Last 10 Meetings in Series and Logical Reasoning and Picks
The Hawks (19-17 vs. Eastern Conference) have won and covered the first two meetings this season, winning 120-105 at Home in Atlanta on Jan 9 in the first meeting as Horford had 33 points and 10 boards (ATL -2½, 208½, Over) while the Hawks also won big, 113-110, in Chicago on Feb 10. despite Gasol’s 20 points and 10 rebounds in the Windy City (ATL -3½. 205½, Over). So both meetings this year have gone Over (225, 223 points scored) and the final meeting is on Monday, March 28 in Chicago (NBA-TV). The Bulls head in here having covered 3 straight and have been playing better since getting D-Rose back (although he missed Wednesday’s game) and seven Bulls responded by scoring in double-figures.

Trend-wise, the Over is 12-4 ATS in the L16 Bulls Road games and the Over is 18-7 in Chicago’s L25 vs. the Eastern Conference as well as 9-3 ATS the L12 Hawks games vs. the Central Division. However, the Under is 21-9 in Atlanta’s L30 Friday games so wake the wife and kids and let them know. The Bulls are 6-4 ATS the L10 in this series while the Under is 6-4 in those meetings and Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its L11 Friday games.

Two big Trends with real perceived relevance here are the Under being 13-5 in the L18 meetings (72.2%) and the favorite being 37-15 ATS in the L52 in the series (71.2%). Still, this seems like a fast-paced shootout waiting to happen with both teams topping the 100-point mark because there will be so many players who can get double-digits in a game like this and the hobbled but hearty Bulls and Gasol (Probable) probably putting up a good fight and maybe even winning here, especially if Rose (Questionable) is in the starting lineup. Or maybe Chicago is better without him?

Final Score Prediction: Bulls 108 Hawks 107

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883325, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

NBA Picks: Bulls +7.5, Over 208.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

comment here