Skip to main content
NBA picks, predictions, best bets each day based on the odds at our top-rated sportsbooks.
NBA picks, predictions, best bets each day based on the odds at our top-rated sportsbooks.

Twenty-eight NBA teams are back in action Friday following Thursday's league-wide off day for Thanksgiving. Read on for our NBA picks and best bets for Friday.

We have a loaded 14-game slate in the NBA on Friday. Every team is rested off of a Thanksgiving break. It’s crucial to keep our bankroll disciplined, avoid traps, and find the winners in this forest of a market. Welcome back to the NBA best bets piece where we look to find the spots where your money should be headed.

Here are our best bets for Friday’s NBA slate (odds via PointsBet, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Friday’s NBA Schedule and Odds

(odds via DraftKings)

  • Minnesota Timberwolves (-225) vs. Charlotte Hornets (+190)
  • Philadelphia 76ers (+110) vs. Orlando Magic (-130)
  • Portland Trail Blazers (+135) vs. New York Knicks (-155)
  • Sacramento Kings (+255) vs. Boston Celtics (-305)
  • Cleveland Cavaliers (+145) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (-170)
  • New Orleans Pelicans (+110) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (-130)
  • Brooklyn Nets (-165) vs. Indiana Pacers (+140)
  • Chicago Bulls (-145) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (+125)
  • Washington Wizards (+135) vs. Miami Heat (-155)
  • Los Angeles Lakers (-155) vs. San Antonio Spurs (+135)
  • Atlanta Hawks (No ML, -8) vs. Houston Rockets
  • Detroit Pistons (+575) vs. Phoenix Suns (-800)
  • Utah Jazz (+255) vs. Golden State Warriors (-305)
  • Denver Nuggets (-155) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (+135)

Friday’s NBA Best Bets

  • Moneyline: Magic (-130 via PointsBet)
  • Spread: Kings +8 (-110 via FanDuel)
  • Total: Wizards-Heat Under 212.5 (-112 via FanDuel)
  • Upset: Rockets (+260 via Caesars)
  • Prop bet: Buddy Hield Over 16.5 points (-120 via DraftKings)

Friday’s NBA Top Picks

Moneyline: Magic (-130) ★★★★

It is rare to see a rebuilding team like the Orlando Magic as favorites in any game but they deserve it Friday, as they're set to face a Philadelphia 76ers team without their three best players—Joel Embiid, James Harden, and Tyrese Maxey.

While the revenge narrative of 76ers forward Tobias Harris playing in Orlando could keep this game close, Orlando should be able to get the job done at home, where they are 6-3-0 against the spread. The Magic win with size and playmaking by star rookie Paolo Banchero, who is likely available for Friday's contest. On the season, the Magic have made the ninth-most field goals per game in the restricted area.

With Embiid out over the last two games, the 76ers have allowed a whopping 46 made field goals in that span in the restricted area—fourth most in the NBA. Sixers wing defender Matisse Thybulle, who could have countered the length of the Magic, is also out for this game. The 76ers are going to have to shoot themselves into the game on Friday and that’s not a bet you want to make with this much offensive talent missing.

Spread: Kings +8 (-110) ★★★

Around 70% of the against-the-spread bets are on the Boston Celtics so far as the public is riding with the best team in the NBA. Yet, the line has moved a point in favor of the visiting Sacramento Kings, who have been hot in their own regard. That makes sense—the Kings have absolutely nobody listed on their injury report while the Celtics are still without starting center Robert Williams III.

That should hurt against the Kings, who run an above-average offense in the paint and rank sixth in the league in drives per game. On the season, Boston has allowed the third-most field goals made per game in the paint area (non-restricted). The Celtics should also come back down to Earth from 3-point range; they have shot better than 43% from beyond the arc in three of their last four games.

Take Sacramento to stay competitive on the road. The Kings are 4-1-0 ATS as road underdogs.

Total: Wizards-Heat Under 212.5 (-112) ★★

The Washington Wizards and Miami Heat just faced off in Miami on Wednesday. The total was set at 209.5 and the Over cashed easily with the 113-105 final score. On Friday, the line opened in the 212 area, 97% of the action is on the Over to hit again, and the line has frozen. The books know that it is hard for both offenses to clear 100 points comfortably in this two-game series in Miami.

The Wizards have multiple starters (Monte Morris and Bradley Beal) possibly returning Friday; however, the Heat will combat that with Bam Adebayo, one of the best defensive anchors in the NBA, who is probable for the game.

Wizards games are 6-1-0 to the Under when they have equal rest as their opponent and 5-2-0 to the Under following a loss; those are both top-two hit rates in the NBA.

Upset: Rockets (+260) ★★★

Hear me out. The Houston Rockets have won only three games all season and just one of their last six contents, but most of these recent games have been competitive. Since last season, the Atlanta Hawks are just 13-14 against the spread when they have the rest disadvantage and 10-10-0 against the spread when they as road favorites.

On the season, the Rockets average 51.1 drives per game (fifth-most in the NBA) and although they are horrific shooting the three, the Hawks aren't defeated in that fashion either, since they are solid guarding the perimeter. Instead, Houston will be able to attack an Atlanta defense that allows the seventh-most made field goals per game in the restricted area and the seventh-most points in the paint per game.

Expect positive regression for a Rockets team that has four days of rest and sprinkle on their moneyline as a fade of the public. Nearly 80% of the public tickets so far are on the Hawks against the spread but the line has frozen at 7 points in their favor.

Prop bet: Hield Over 16.5 points (-120) ★★★★

If you want to bet Overs, you should chase volume. While Buddy Hield can be streaky with his jump shot, he's an essential guarantee to chuck up 12 field goals per game, since he's done that in 88% of his games this season. He has cleared this point total in 10 of his 17 games and Friday's contest between the Brooklyn Nets and Indiana Pacers features one of the highest betting totals of the slate (233.5), which means the books are expecting offense.

This season, the Nets have allowed the most made 3-pointers per game and the second-most points per game to shooting guards. Since Nets guard Ben Simmons’ return from injury on November 7, the Nets have gotten slightly better at defending the three but worse at defending the restricted area, where Hield takes most of his non-3-point attempts from.

In that span, Brooklyn has allowed the 10th-most above-the-break made threes per game, ninth-most left corner threes per game, and 13th-most restricted area buckets per game. This season, Hield has attempted 86.5% of his shots from these spots, which is why we are pivoting to Hield’s point total.

Where to Bet on NBA Best Bets

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

NBA best bets made on 11/25/2022 at 12:40 p.m. ET.