Back Spurs -4 With Your NBA Picks In Huge Clash vs. Warriors

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, March 19, 2016 6:18 PM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 19, 2016 6:18 PM GMT

While there are plenty of excellent matchups both in the pros and collegiate ranks on Saturday, none of them are going to be as must-see as the Warriors and Spurs. Right now the NBA odds have the Spurs as -3 home favorites, with a total of 217 points.

Blow Out Again?
The last time these two teams tipped off against one another earlier this season in Oakland, the Warriors grabbed the Spurs from behind with a steel wire and choked the life out of them from the very beginning of the game. It was even close, as the Warriors dominated them 120-90. Stephen Curry was virtually unstoppable dropping 37 points in route to the victory.

While the Spurs were relatively healthy in that one, they were without Tim Duncan, who probably wouldn’t have made much of a difference with the Warriors shooting 52 percent from the floor and close to 42 percent from three-point land.

While Gregg Popovich has been known to try and play mind games with potential playoff opponents, sitting some of his players in middle of the season matchups, with only 14 games to go this season, and with the top seed in the West still within reach, (especially if they can win this game and get their lead in the Western Conference down to 3 games) I doubt Popovich pulls a fast one tonight in a game that is as close to a must-win regular season game as they come.

The problem for the Warriors is now they may be the one without a couple of key veterans. Andrew Bogut is coming into this one questionable, so if he can’t go the Warriors will likely try to go small some more. The only issue with that is Andre Iguodala is out for tonight as well, and he was their main small-ball weapon of choice in the NBA Finals last season.

I can almost guarantee tonight’s game is going to be closer however. The Spurs were shell shocked by the Warriors crowd in that game back in January, and now they have home court advantage on their side. Om top of that, without Iguodala tonight, they Warriors don’t have much to throw at Kawhi Leonard. While Harrison Barnes is a solid player, he is only an average defender at best, and with Draymond Green likely preoccupied with what should be a very energized LaMarcus Aldridge for this game, Leonard might be the key to the Spurs winning or losing this one.

 

The Sharp Pick
It’s safe to say that while the Spurs did look lost in their first meeting with the Dubs, the home court advantage and the veteran injuries to the Warriors make this one a whole new ball game. If Bogut misses tonight with Iguodala, that takes away a lot of the flexibility that the Warriors have with their rotations, and it might force them to play into the Spurs’ hands.

While San Antonio has not been great ATS as of late, they have also been overvalued lately as well. There is no way they should have been -8 ½ favorites on the NBA odds board against the Thunder, and no way they should have been 11 ½ favorites against the Blazers two nights ago.

While the Warriors have been playing well ATS, winning five of their last six games ATS, the Dubs are only 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine road games. While their road ATS record is impressive, it’s starting to even out, and I see them losing tonight both SU and ATS. San Antonio won’t let the Warriors play fast in this one either, and if it comes down to a half court battle, look for San Antonio to come out on top. So, after you get done watching your brackets get busted, join us NBA nerds for the game of the night between the Dubs and Spurs and place your NBA picks on San Antonio.

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NBA Pick: Spurs -4
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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