Back Phoenix vs. Lakers for NBA Picks

Sunday, March 30, 2014 12:52 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 30, 2014 12:52 PM UTC

The Phoenix Suns have gotten hot at a good time, as they try to secure a playoff berth. Phoenix goes looking for a seventh straight victory when it invades Staples Center to take on the lost LA Lakers Sunday night (9:30 pm ET).
<p><b style="font-size:1em">The Line<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">As of early Sunday AM this game had not been lined, probably because of the injury situations with the Lakers.</span></p> <p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size:1em"><a href="" title="Let's take a look at the top NBA Futures Betting Lines" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"><em>Let's take a look at the top NBA Futures Betting Lines</em></a><br /></span></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">The Situation<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">Phoenix has won six games in a row, <a target="_blank" title="Read our preview and picks for this match-up" href="/nba-basketball/free-picks/nba-picks-knicks-vs-suns-5-5-a-38487/">after beating New York Friday night 112-88</a>. That game was tied at 22 early, before the Suns began to run away. Phoenix shot 46 percent from the floor on the night, held New York to 40 percent shooting and easily covered the spread as six-point favorites.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">In fact, the Suns have covered the spread four games in a row.</span><span style="font-size:1em"> </span></p> <p>So the Suns, at 44-29, are in seventh place in the West, a game and a half behind sixth-place Golden State, but also just a half-game ahead of both Memphis and Dallas.</p> <p>The Lakers, meanwhile, at 24-48, are just trying to avoid further embarrassment. They've lost nine of their last 12 games, after getting bombed by <a target="_blank" title="Read our predictions for this match-up" href="/nba-basketball/free-picks/betting-value-lakers-vs-timberwolves-a-38488/">Minnesota Friday night 143-107</a>. LA, which has basically forgotten how to play defense, allowed the Timberwolves to shoot a ridiculous 67 percent from the field, the best shooting performance by an offense in the NBA this season.</p> <p>The Lakers trailed at one point Friday night by 41 points, and failed to cover as 11-point dogs.</p> <p><b style="font-size:1em"><br />Suns-Lakers Recent History<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em"><img src="" id="ctl00_head_ArticleAdministrator_picturePreview_imgSelectedPicture" alt="Image preview" class="imgSelectedPicture article-image" />When looking at the recent history between these two teams we're only going back to the start of this season, because before that these were two very different teams.</span><span style="font-size:1em"> </span></p> <p>Phoenix has taken the first three games of this season series this year, by scores of 114-108, 117-90 and 121-114. The Suns shot a combined 49 percent from the field in those three games, while the Lakers shot 45 percent.</p> <p>Also, two of those three games played OVER on the totals.</p> <p><b style="font-size:1em"><br />Suns-Lakers By the Numbers<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">Phoenix is shooting 46 percent from the field this season, and 38 percent from 3-point range, while allowing opponents to shoot 45 percent.</span><span style="font-size:1em"> </span></p> <p>Los Angeles is shooting 45 percent from the floor and 38 percent from the line, but is allowing foes to shoot almost 47 percent. Also, LA is the worst rebounding team in the league, at -7.7 boards per game. To us that's a clear sign of lack of effort.</p> <p><b style="font-size:1em"><br />Suns-Lakers Betting Trends<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">Phoenix has been the best team in the league to bet on this season, going 48-24 ATS overall, 26-9 ATS on the road.</span><span style="font-size:1em"> </span></p> <p>LA is 17-17 ATS at home.</p> <p>Phoenix is 36-34 on the OVER/UNDERS this season, as Suns games have averaged 208 total points.</p> <p>LA is 42-30 on the totals, <a target="_blank" title="Check out some Western Conference Betting Trends" href="/nba-basketball/free-picks/western-conference-teams-jockey-playoff-positions-a-38466/">as Lakers games have averaged</a> a league-high 211 points.</p> <p><b style="font-size:1em"><br />Suns-Lakers Injury Update<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">LA is without Kobe, Xavier Henry (10 PPG), Jordan Farmar (10 PPG) and Pau Gasol (17 PPG, 10 RPG), as they all deal with various ailments. Also, while Steve Nash has played a couple of games recently, he's nowhere near his former self.</span><span style="font-size:1em"> </span></p> <p>For Phoenix, G Goran Dragic (21 PPG) took some stitches above the eye Friday night, but is expected to play Sunday. Also, the Suns are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS since getting G Eric Bledsoe back from a knee injury.</p> <p><b style="font-size:1em"><br />Suns-Lakers Free Pick<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">We're not going to think too hard on this one; Phoenix is playing for its playoff life, while LA, well, we're not sure what they're playing for. We'd say pride, but at this point we're not sure they've got any. So while the Suns might be favored by double-digits when the line comes out we'll still go with Phoenix for <a target="_blank" title="Be sure to check out the rest of our free NBA picks" href="/nba-basketball/">our free NBA pick for Sunday</a>.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">[gameodds]5/260463/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]<br /></span></p>
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