At +8½ Odds Take Raptors to Cover vs. Thunder With Your NBA Picks

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, November 4, 2015 4:00 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2015 4:00 PM GMT

The Raptors defeated the Mavs the OKC suffered their first loss of the season to the Rockets. Let's see what the NBA odds makers up to and choose the right team to back in our NBA picks.

Toronto Raptors (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)
The Raptors are only one of three teams left to remain undefeated this season. As they travel to Oklahoma City the club looks to build upon their surprising start and is hoping to get another big performance from Kyle Lowry who dropped 27 points on the Mavs last night and a game-high 10 assists. The win marked the first time in franchise history that the club has started the season 4-0.

While Lowry has led the team in assists and steals it is DeMar DeRozan leading the team in points averaging 20.8 per game while seven-footer Jonas Valanciunas is grabbing over 10 rebounds per contest. The Raptors have covered the NBA Odds in all four games this season which has been an early season boon to those who have backed them in their NBA Picks. Toronto has been playing a disciplined brand of basketball and creating opportunities like the 15 forced turnovers against the Mavericks last night. The club has won 15 of their last 18 regular season contests when limiting the opposition to less than 100 points.

 

Oklahoma City Thunder (4-1 SU, 2-2 ATS)
The Thunder had been rolling until Monday night when they ran into the Rockets in Houston. Though the visitors were made a 4 ½ point favorite they not only failed to cover the number but lost the game outright 110-105. It was a game of turnovers and sloppy play that caused the Thunder to drop their first game of the season. Twenty-five turnovers led to 21 Houston points which proved to be the death knell for Oklahoma City. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook combined for 54 points but it was the lack of contributions off the bench that also contributed to the loss.

The Thunder needs to return to a team game like they played on Sunday when the team amassed 32 assists and seven players scored in double digits. That is the kind of ball rookie head coach Billy Donovan wants out his crew. Oklahoma City is averaging 118.3 points and 53 rebounds per game ranking them 2nd in the league in both categories while holding their opposition to 111.3 PPG which places them near the bottom. After a disappointing outing on the road the Thunder, after a day of rest, hopes to catch the streaking Raptors dog tired after their game in Dallas last night.

 

NBA Pick
The tendency is to fade teams that are playing back-to-back games as the season is long, and especially on the road, players can get weary. But oftentimes we see the NBA odds makers overreacting to the public perception which is the case in this one. The Raptors appear to have a very talented group where the new faces are blending in seamlessly. We will eventually see just how good this team really is but right now the season is early and the back-to-backs teams play in November are much easier than those in March or April.

That lends me to put some credence in backing the Raptors tonight. The team is undefeated and outperforming what many believed would be an also-ran. This is a talented group and though the Thunder has bona fide superstars in Durant and Westbrook I believe that Toronto can hang with the generous head starts the oddsmakers are giving us.

NBA Pick: Play Toronto +8½ (-105) at GTBets

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