Ailing Spurs Getting Huge Head Start in Showdown at Houston

spurs rockets

Swinging Johnson

Monday, March 12, 2018 3:15 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 12, 2018 3:15 PM UTC

The San Antonio Spurs will limp into Houston with two of their biggest stars on the shelf in LaMarcus Aldridge and Kawhi Leonard. Let’s see if the NBA odds are giving us a reason to back the Spurs against the steamrolling Rockets.

Spurs (37-29 SU, 32-30-4 ATS) at Rockets (52-14 SU, 35-30-1 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Spurs +13Best Line Offered: JustBet

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3263753, "sportsbooksIds":[1275,169,238,19,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

  • Houston is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.
  • Houston is 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
  • Houston is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.
  • San Antonio is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.
  • San Antonio is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
  • San Antonio is 8-4 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more.

If you took a quick glance at the NBA odds, you would immediately know that something was askew when you noticed the San Antonio Spurs were 12½-13 point underdogs. Injuries will do that and in this case, that happens to be San Antonio’s LaMarcus Aldridge. The big man on the wing will be sidelined with what is being described as right knee soreness. His absence, as well as the continuing medical saga of All-Star teammate Kawhi Leonard, is a major reason why the Rockets are such overwhelming favorites.

However, if we put injuries aside for a moment, we have to tip our caps to the juggernaut that is the Houston Rockets this season. They own the best record in the league heading into the home stretch and are 1½ games in front of the defending world champion Golden State Warriors in the West. The Rockets are rolling, having won 18 of their last 19, and covering the number in 12 of those. In addition, Houston has won and covered both games against San Antonio this season with the most recent taking place on Feb. 1 when the Rockets rolled to a 102-91 victory as 2½-point road chalk.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

Gamenight Stats pres. by @ChickfilA! pic.twitter.com/agpu7Mk2hY

— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) March 12, 2018
\n\n"}[/]

So what makes this matchup any different, besides the obvious injuries to the Spurs' two best players? The spread is the ultimate equalizer, and let us not forget that Houston superstar James Harden was ruled out of Saturday’s game against Dallas with soreness to his knee but is slated to be in uniform tonight. Nevertheless, a cautious approach will be taken with their resident superstar as head coach Mike D'Antoni does not want to test Harden’s limits with the playoffs looming.

The Spurs will attempt to slow the pace and keep the Rockets from launching above the arc, as they have done so well this season. Although it would be easy to back the Rockets and fade the Spurs, I believe the double-digit head start that the Spurs are getting makes this a value play to include in our NBA picks tonight. Back, what I believe, is a live road dog and don’t be surprised if the Rockets are looking ahead to Thursday when they welcome the Clippers to the Toyota Center.

comment here