The Mavericks own nine straight victories over the Wizards, and have covered the spread the last four meetings. The Wizards get a chance to do something about that when they meet the Mavs in Big D.
Wizards-Mavs Betting Odds
Most NBA betting odds opened this game with Dallas favored by 4.5 points, with a total of 209. In the early betting the line was holding steady, while the total dropped a point. Those who think Washington won't need the points tonight could get a price of +175 on the moneyline at 5Dimes.
Washington went off this season with a wins betting OVER/UNDER of 50. With nine wins in their last 11 games the Wizards are now on pace to win 60 games.
Christmas Day Washington won at New York 102-91, covering as a five-point favorite. Saturday the Wizards beat Boston 101-88, covering at -9. Washington then began its current five-game road trip with a 104-103 victory at Houston Monday night, winning straight up as a three-point underdog. The Wizards built an 18-point lead late in the third quarter, allowed the Rockets to tie the score at 84-84 with five minutes to go, then went on a 9-0 run and held on for the W.
Washington shot 48 percent from the floor Monday night, made eight of 18 shots from beyond the arc and ht 26 of 28 free-throws. At 22-8 Washington is tied with Atlanta for the second-best record in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half back of first-place Toronto. Dallas, meanwhile, also began this season with a wins O/U of 50. At the moment the Mavs are on pace to win 56 games.
Dallas has won the first two games of a three-game home-stand, beating the Lakers last Friday 102-98 and Oklahoma City Sunday 112-107. The Mavs came up short in trying to cover as 13-point favorites against LA, but covered as two-point favorites against the Thunder.
Dallas trailed by seven points heading into the fourth quarter Sunday, but held OKC to just 19 points from there, while rallying itself for the victory. The Mavs only shot 44 percent from the floor, and allowed the Thunder to shoot 50 percent, but hit 24 of 28 shots from the line and won the turnover battle 18-12. The Mavs are now 3-2 SU and 1-4 ATS since trading for PG Rajon Rondo. At 22-10 Dallas is tied with Houston for the four-five spots in the Western Conference.
Wizards-Mavs Key Numbers
Washington ranks fourth in the league in FG shooting at 47 percent, first in 3-point shooting at 39 percent but only 21st in FT shooting at 74 percent. The Wizards also ran sixth in FG defense, holding opponents to just under 44 percent shooting, ninth in rebounding at +2 per game and average a 25/14 assist-to-turnover ratio.
Dallas ranks second in FG shooting at 48 percent, 17th in FG defense at 45 percent, 26th in rebounding at -2.5 per game and averages a 23/12 A/TO differential.
Wizards-Mavs Recent History
As mentioned above Dallas has beaten Washington nine times in a row, including a 105-102 decision in DC six weeks ago. The Mavericks only shot 42 percent from the floor that night, but hit 12 of 28 shots from 3-point range, 25 of 29 from the FT line and held the Wizards to 44 percent shooting, sneaking out the cover as two-point favorites.
Last season Dallas swept two games from Washington, by scores of 105-95 and 87-78.
Wizards-Mavs Betting Trends
Washington is 14-15 on the totals this season, as Wizards games have averaged 197 points.
Dallas is 18-14 on the totals, as Mavs games have averaged 213 points.
Washington is 8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS on the road this season.
Dallas is 12-5 SU but only 7-10 ATS at home.
Dallas C Tyson Chandler, who's averaging 11 points and 12 boards this season, missed Sunday's game with a sore back, and G Monta Ellis, who's averaging 20 PPG, turned an ankle; the status of both for Tuesday night is uncertain.
Wizards-Mavs Free Pick
Dallas may own the upper hand on Washington over recent seasons, but the Wizards might be the better team right now. They play better defense, and they do a better job on the boards. Also, the Mavs might be a bit shorthanded for this one. So we like Washington as our NBA pick, and we'll play the moneyline, to win this game outright.
Free NBA Pick: Washington +175 at 5Dimes