Add Surging Grizzlies +11 vs. Celtics With Your NBA Picks

Jake Walker

Wednesday, March 9, 2016 8:19 PM GMT

Wednesday, Mar. 9, 2016 8:19 PM GMT

The Memphis Grizzlies (38-25) travel to the TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics (38-26). The Celtics are favored by 11 points on the NBA odds board and the total is set at 209.5.

Memphis Grizzlies
The Memphis Grizzlies have won four of their last five games, including a surprising 106-103 road victory against the Cleveland Cavaliers last Monday. Tony Allen led the way with a season-high 26 points, as Memphis, with just one of their starters (Mike Conley, Zach Randolph, Chris Andersen and Matt Barnes didn't play) prevailed. 

The Grizzlies average 99.2 points per game on 44.6 percent shooting overall and 33.7 percent shooting from three-point range and they pull down 40.6 rebounds per game (last in the NBA). Defensively, Memphis allows 99.7 points per game (seventh in the league) and their opponents shoot 44.7 percent from the floor and 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and grab 43.3 rebounds per game. 

Mike Conley leads the team with 15.3 points and 6.1 assists, Zach Randolph averages 14.6 points and a team-best 7.9 rebounds and Lance Stephenson adds 13.0 points and 4.6 rebounds in nine games with the Grizzlies.  

 

Boston Celtics
The Boston Celtics saw their five-game winning streak come to an end with a 120-103 road loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers last Saturday. The Celtics led by as many as 18 points in the first quarter but the Cavaliers got physical on defense, regrouped and stopped them. Isaiah Thomas led the Celtics with 27 points and Jared Sullinger added 17 points and 13 rebounds.

The Celtics score 106.1 points per game (fourth in the league) and shoot 44.1 percent from the floor and 33.3 percent from three-point range and they pull down 45.1 rebounds per game (sixth in the NBA). Boston allows 102.0 points per game and their opponents shoot 43.8 percent overall and 32.8 percent from beyond the arc and grab 46.1 rebounds per game. 

 

Betting Trends
The Grizzlies are 10-5 ATS in the second half of the season, 14-9 ATS in non-conference games, 11-6 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and 26-19 ATS against poor defensive teams (allowing over 99 points per game).

The Celtics are 1-4 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, 3-4 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more and 17-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 

 

Final Analysis
The Celtics are an 11-point favorite on the NBA odds board and the total has been set at 209.5. This will be the second meeting between these two teams this season. The Grizzlies beat the Celtics 101-98 on January 10 behind 25 points and 13 rebounds from Zach Randolph. Isaiah Thomas finished with 35 points for the Celtics.  

Boston has been very consistent this season, especially at home and Memphis might miss some key starters but they proved that they're a dangerous team with a deep bench. The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and they're playing very well as of late. The Celtics might win this game but the Grizzlies will score enough points to cover this large spread. I like Memphis +11 for one of my NBA picks.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883413, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +11  
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

comment here