The San Antonio Spurs blew their shot at the No. 2 seed and a much easier path in the playoffs by losing on the final day of the regular season. Now they’ll try to set the tone early in a series against the Los Angeles Clippers, who find themselves as a home dog on the NBA betting lines.
The San Antonio Spurs can win because…
They’ve been the league’s best team since the end of February, and you might want to keep this in mind when looking at the NBA betting odds. On February 25th, the Spurs were merely 34-23 and some wondered whether they would even make the playoffs. However, they would end up winning 21 of their final 25 games to vault up the NBA futures. That included wins over the Houston Rockets (twice), Golden State Warriors, Memphis Grizzlies, Dallas Mavericks (twice), Oklahoma City Thunder (twice) and Chicago Bulls. That shows the Spurs not only smoked the weaklings, they took care of all types of business down the stretch.
Both their offense and defense improved down the stretch of the season as they allowed just 97 points per game in March and April, and their offense averaged 110.6 in March and 108.8 in April. Roughly speaking, their average margin of victory over the last month and a half was – at least – 10 points per game. That’s how good they were.
In this particularly spot, look for the Spurs to keep it going. They have more depth than Los Angeles, more discipline and more experience. They’re a team that gets the job done in these spots while the Clippers are a team that’s been known to fall short. Where do you want to put your money?
The Los Angeles Clippers can win because…
They’ve been playing pretty darn well down the stretch of the season too. While they don’t get as much love, the Clippers actually won 14 of their last 15 games to end the season. While the Spurs might have more balance and depth, the Clippers have more athleticism and more superstars. Chris Paul has played like an MVP down the stretch of the season and Blake Griffin is a beast too. DeAndre Jordan has been stellar this year too as he ramps up for a contract year.
And while the Spurs are a sizable -150 favorite, it seemingly gets forgotten that the Clippers are at home for this matchup. That’s pretty significant when you consider that the Clippers are 30-11 at home and the Spurs are just 22-19 on the road. Those are some of the reasons why you should consider the Clippers.
It’s hard to have faith in the Clippers here when you consider who they’re up against. And while they do have home court advantage, keep in mind that they lost to Houston, Golden State and Portland at home in March. Sure, they won 14 of 15 to end the year but a lot of that was against weaker teams. The Spurs run is more credible. That being the case, take the Spurs with your NBA picks.
NBA Pick: Spurs +1 at Bovada