Add Jazz +9 Over Spurs to Your NBA Picks Tonight

Darin Zank

Tuesday, December 9, 2014 4:26 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 9, 2014 4:26 PM UTC

Defending league champion San Antonio is rolling again, on a 10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS run. Utah, on the other hand, is reeling, with nine losses in a row, and just two covers in that span. So it's two teams headed in different directions when the Spurs and Jazz meet in Salt Lake City Tuesday night.

Spurs-Jazz Betting Odds
Most NBA odds we consulted opened this game with San Antonio favored by nine points, with a total of 195, and both those numbers were holding steady in the early betting.

Those who believe the Jazz might pull the upset here could get a price of +425 on the moneyline at Pinnacle.


Spurs-Jazz: The Match-Up
Defending NBA champion San Antonio went off this season with a wins OVER/UNDER of 57. After a slow start the Spurs are now hot, and on pace to play OVER that figure. San Antonio started this season 2-3, with losses to the Suns, Rockets and Pelicans. The Spurs then won three in a row, beating the Clippers, Warriors and Lakers, then lost to the Kings to fall to 5-4. But since then San Antonio has won 10 of its last 11 games, after downing Minnesota Saturday 123-101. The Spurs shot a hot 57 percent from the field Saturday, held the Timberwolves to 42 percent shooting, won the battle on the boards by a 52-41 margin and covered the spread as 14-point favorites. They did all that without both Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili, who sat out the game with injuries. San Antonio has scored at least 106 points in six of its last seven games. At 15-5 the Spurs are tied with the Clippers for the fifth-best record in the Western Conference.

Utah, one of the youngest teams in the league, went off this season with a wins O/U of 26. Thanks to their recent woes, the Jazz will have to turn things around if they want to approach that figure. Utah began this season in fits and starts, and after beating Oklahoma City back on Nov. 18 sat at 5-7. But the Jazz have lost their last nine games in a row, after falling at Sacramento Monday night 101-92. They actually led the Kings after one quarter Monday 31-23, and by a bucket early in the fourth quarter, but let things slip away from there. The Jazz shot just 41 percent from the floor for the game, made just three of 17 shots from beyond the arc, allowed Sacramento to shoot 47 percent, and missed on the cover as five-point dogs.

Of Utah's last nine losses six have come by at least nine points. That's why it's just 2-7 ATS over those last nine contests. At 5-16 Utah is tied with the Lakers for the second-worst record in the West.


Spurs-Jazz, By the Numbers
San Antonio ranks ninth in the league in FG shooting at 46 percent, fifth in 3-point marksmanship at 38 percent and fourth in FT shooting at 79 percent. The Spurs also rank fifth in FG defense, holding opponents to 43 percent shooting, fourth in rebounding at +4.3 per game and own a per-game assist-to-turnover ratio of 24/14.

Utah ranks 14th in FG shooting at 46 percent, 24th in 3-point shooting at 33 percent and 23rd in FT shooting at 73 percent. The Jazz also rank just 27th in FG defense, allowing foes to shoot 48 percent, 13th in rebounding at +.8 per game and own a 21/14 A/TO ratio.


Spurs-Jazz Recent History
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. San Antonio has beaten Utah five times in a row overall, and 16 of the last 18 meetings, including playoffs. Last season the Spurs swept four games from the Jazz by an average score of 106-94. But Utah managed to split those four games ATS, covering as a dog of 10 and 13 points. Those four games also split 2-2 along the totals, as the games averaged 200 total points.


Spurs-Jazz Betting Trends
San Antonio is 8-12 on the totals this season, as Spurs games have averaged 195 points.

Utah is 9-12 on the totals, as Jazz games have averaged 198 points.

San Antonio is 8-4 SU and 7-5 ATS on the road this season.

Utah is 3-8 SU, 5-6 ATS at home.


Personnel Update
San Antonio has been know to rest its aging Big Three in spots like this, and it's a good bet that Parker and Ginobili, who both missed Saturday's game, will miss tonight's game, too. And F. Tiago Splitter, who's missed almost all of this season with a calf injury, is still unlikely to return tonight.

On the other side of this match-up, word is Utah C. Enes Kanter, who's averaging 14 points and seven boards per game, might be suspended, after tossing his mouthguard into the stands Monday night.

Bettors may want to wait until closer to tip-off, for updated lineup information, before placing your NBA pick.

Spurs-Jazz Free Pick
This is a tough one, because of the uncertainty with the San Antonio lineup. One can't help but believe the Spurs will miss Parker and Ginobili. San Antonio has certainly played well without those guys in the past – big props to Coach Pop – but that spread just seems like a bit too much. So we'll take the points with the home dog in this spot.

Free NBA Pick: Utah +9 at BookMaker

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