Depending on which sportsbook you use, the NBA betting lines can be found at either 2 or 2.5 points, with the two-time defending champions favored. The total for Game 4 is holding steady at 188, though there's still time for movement ahead of tipoff.
Throughout the first half, you got the feeling LeBron was going to have one of his killer all-around games and carry the Heat on his back to victory.
However, it didn't pan out that way. Miami was right there in the first half, but fell apart in the third quarter and couldn't really recover.
As a team the Heat shot 45.6 percent overall, 33.3 percent (8-of-24) from three and 80.0 percent (20-of-25) from the line. They were killed on the glass (27-43), with LeBron the only member of Miami to grab more than five rebounds.
In all, LeBron posted a 28/8/5 line, with Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh combining for 32 points. No other Heat player hit double figures though – after Ray Allen made big impacts in the first two games of the series, he fell back down to earth with only nine points in Game 3.
Despite losing, there was something about the way Miami walked off the court that made us think they'll be out for blood in Game 4. They let the Nets have one, but we don't expect a similar outcome in the Barclays Center tonight.
Brooklyn's offense finally woke up in Game 3.
The Nets were on fire, especially from beyond the arc where they were 15-of-25. Joe Johnson, Mirza Teletovic, Paul Pierce and Alan Anderson all hit multiple threes in the victory.
Johnson finished with a team-high 19 points (7-10 FG, 5-of-7 3PT) and also had six assists and three rebounds. Pierce, Teletovic, Shaun Livingston, Kevin Garnett and Andray Blatche all scored in double figures as well. Deron Williams scored nine points (3-of-11 FG) with 11 assists in close to 40 minutes of action.
The bench, as you can see, came up big for Brooklyn, totaling 40 points in the Game 3 win. Everyone's going to have to step up once again in Game 4 in order to keep the pressure on the Heat.
With that victory (both straight up and against the spread) two nights ago, the Nets have now gone 5-2 SU and ATS in seven meetings against Miami in the regular season and playoffs. Quite the record, but the playoffs have been different and the Heat will be hungry as ever here this evening. Can the Nets show up and put up a fight once again?
Game 4 Pick
Jordan Sharp has broken down this game and feels there's value in taking the 'over' again. We saw much better ball movement out of the Nets in Game 3 and he's thinking that will carry over into tonight's contest.
We like the look of that play, but in the end we are confident in Miami's ability to silence the Brooklyn crowd tonight.
The Nets seemingly couldn't miss in Game 3 and we don't foresee them having that kind of success again. The Heat know how important it could be to avoid a long, drawn out series, and so we're of the belief they'll come out even more focused than normal.
NBA Pick: Heat -2 (and lean 'over')