Add Grizzlies ATS Over Lakers to Your NBA Picks

David Lawrence

Tuesday, November 11, 2014 1:47 PM GMT

The Los Angeles Lakers finally broke into the win column in the new NBA season by beating the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday night in the City of Angels. Can they make it two in a row? The NBA betting odds say now as they’re a 10-point dog in Memphis on Tuesday.

The Los Angeles Lakers Can Win Because…
Their offense is doing reasonably well. Los Angeles has a top-12 offense in the NBA through nearly two weeks of the season. The Lakers are averaging 102.8 points per game, a lot better than many basketball analysts expected. Jordan Hill has been quietly solid at the center position, averaging 14.3 points and 8.7 rebounds, offering more production than many around the NBA were probably expecting. Ed Davis averaging 10 points per game has been encouraging. Jeremy Lin averaging over five assists per game shows that he’s fairly comfortable at distributing the ball. This team has created more on offense early in the season than many had a right to expect.

What’s also worth considering for the Lakers in this game is that Memphis can always shoot itself right out of a game. The Grizzlies still don’t have a lot of really good perimeter shooting, though Vince Carter – a new addition from the Dallas Mavericks in the offseason – has become a better three-point shooter in this later stage of his professional career. Memphis’ offense bogged down on Saturday night in a 93-92 loss to the lowly Milwaukee Bucks. Memphis’ offense is bad enough to lose to a bad team on any given night. That’s why the Lakers have a real chance here, and it would be dishonest to claim that there’s any better reason for why Los Angeles can compete for 48 minutes in Tennessee.

 

The Memphis Grizzlies Can Win Because…
They're playing a terrible defensive team, the worst in the NBA. This is where the Lakers have unraveled – not on offense, but on defense. Los Angeles gives up an average of 112.7 points per game, clearly the worst average in the whole NBA. The loss of new draft pick Julius Randle at power forward robbed the Lakers of an active body, a widebody kind of player with a bruising game, and ultimately, depth. This is a thinner roster which has also decreased in size because of the injury (likely to lead to retirement) of point guard Steve Nash. The Lakers’ lack of bodies has already caught up with them defensively. Kobe Bryant’s body isn’t able to throw itself into defense the way it once did. That’s a big limitation on the Lakers right there. Memphis might have the 25th-ranked offense in the NBA due to its 93-point average, but against the Lakers and their lack of low-post size, the Grizzlies could quite legitimately run wild in the paint and score over 100 points. It really could happen.

 

Outlook
The Grizzlies are not going to lose two games in a row, for one thing, so Memphis will win outright. As for the NBA odds point spread, the Grizzlies are in a position to expose the Lakers’ lack of healthy low-post players. Randolph and Gasol should have a field day. Take Memphis with your here.

Free NBA Picks: Memphis -10 at 5Dimes

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