Over the last three days if our trend holds true, We're due to cash a couple of prop betting picks in today’s slate of NBA Odds. I am 12-5-1 in my last 18 prop betting picks, and I have two more.
Kevin Love O/U 31.5 points, rebounds and assists
The Hawks have been exploited on both ends when it comes to rebounding the basketball, and Kevin Love has also been pretty good on offense as well. He has three straight double-doubles in this series and if it wasn’t for the Cavs Game 2 blowout of the Hawks, he probably would have had cashed the over in this prop for his last three games. However, with the Hawks on the verge of elimination, they are going to give the Cavs their best effort. The problem with that is that is it won’t be enough to slow down Love.
Love is averaging 16.3 points and 13 rebounds per game in this series, and for the playoffs he is averaging 17.7 points and 12.4 rebounds. He is shooting an insane 41.7 percent from beyond the arc in the playoffs, which is better than he is averaging from the floor for the playoffs. If he can start converting from inside the arc, he should easily have another 20 points. He is dominating the Hawks while shooting only 30 percent from the floor, and he has still played under 30 minutes in his last two games. As long as Channing Frye isn’t dropping 27 points and stealing his minutes, For my NBA picks I expect Love to play over 30 minutes and get above 31 points, rebounds and assists.
My Pick: Over 31.5 points, rebounds and assists
Best Line Offered: -120 at Bovada
Steven Adams O/U 10.5 rebounds
I’m not sure why the sportsbooks haven’t caught up on the fact that Steven Adams has basically been playing the entire game over the last two games. He is averaging more than 38 minutes over his last two games, and he has 28 rebounds in those two games as well. While the Spurs are a tough team to rebound against, Adams has been a rebounding machine in the playoffs. He is averaging 9.5 per game, and his rebounding rate for the playoffs is 18.4 percent. He also has a defensive rebounding rate of more than 22 percent, so as long as the Thunder can force the Spurs to miss shots, he should once again have 11 or more rebounds for the third game in a row.
The one thing that could be standing in our way of this prop is the Thunder’s ability to stay in the game. They have obviously done a good job of that over their last two, but if they get blown out for some reason, Adams might not see the floor too much. However, considering the game is at home, and Adams is averaging a rebound about every 2.7 minutes per game this series, as long as he sees another 35 minutes or more in this one, the odds of him cashing the over is great. Plus, the NBA odds at bet365 are offering are great at even money for the over.
My Pick: Over 10.5
?Best Line Offered: +100 at bet365