A Big 'Over' in NBA All-Star Game is Betworthy Trend to Consider

Kevin Stott

Sunday, February 18, 2018 1:09 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 18, 2018 1:09 PM UTC

Expect another high-scoring All-Star Game tonight. And when the season resumes Thursday keep an eye on the Magic, who have been plagued by injuries but are on a 13-3 ATS run.

NBA: 5 Betworthy TrendsFree Betworthy Trend Pick: All-Star Game 'Over' 340½Best Line Offered: YouWager

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1. NBA All-Star Game Totals, Scores Trending Up

After averaging 262.4 ppg in the five preceding NBA All-Star Games (291, 301, 281, 318, 321), the L2 All-Star Games have averaged 371.5 ppg (369, 374) with the West putting up a gaudy 196 and 192 points in 23- and 10-point wins. This year — after the lately stacked West W12 of the L18 All-Star Games — the teams for tonight's game have been chosen by Team LeBron (James) and Team Steph (Curry). The NBA odds board has Team LeBron as 3-point favorites (-115, BetOnline) with the total up to 341 from 339½.

Even with the NBA changing from an East vs. West to a Team LeBron vs. Team Steph format, little defense and much scoring can be anticipated in any NBA All-Star Game, with little effort spent setting up plays when a team has possession and many quick shots taken, easy dunks made and defenders just watching, knowing an injury could mean second-guessing, guilt and problems for a team when the season resumes. Sooner or later an NBA All-Star side will score 200 points, and last year’s 374-point game (West 192, East 182) hints a 400-point game could be coming down the road. And with the total as low as 340½, backing the "over" seems natural with your NBA picks.

2. Depleted Magic on Profitable 13-3 Tear ATS

The beat-up Orlando Magic (18-39 SU, 28-29-0 ATS) are 21 games under .500 but have gone 13-3 ATS the L16 (81.3 percent) after losing to Charlotte 104-102 on Feb. 14 but covering as 6-point home underdogs. With Nikola Vucevic (hand) and Aaron Gordon (hip flexor) nursing injuries, Terrence Ross (knee) and Jonathan Isaac (ankle) out indefinitely, and former starting PG Elfrid Payton traded to Phoenix, Magic coach Frank Vogel has had to do some juggling. In the loss to the Hornets, he employed a staring five of Mario Hezonja (21 points, 10 rebounds), Jonathon Simmons, Bismack Biyombo (11 points, 11 rebounds), D.J. Augustin (16 points) and Evan Fournier (13 points), with Marreese Speights (16 points, 5 rebounds) and Shelvin Mack (8 points, 7 rebounds) providing results in their 2 combined minutes off the bench.

The Magic (11-16-0 ATS at home) host the Knicks on Thursday and are at Philadelphia on Saturday. The question is, are sportsbooks are undervaluing the Magic (underdogs in 10 straight games and 29 of their L30) or is this an under-the-radar Betworthy Trend to watch? Of note: The "under" is 6-2 the L8 Magic games in O-Town and the Magic have played 17 "unders" and 10 "overs" at home.

3. Timberwolves Riding String of 5 ATS Losses, 6 Overs

The Minnesota Timberwolves (36-25 SU, 28-31-2 ATS) have played six straight "overs" and failed to cover ATS in L5. In their L6 games, the Timberwolves (19-8 over at home) have played in games averaging 235.2 ppg (230, 234, 217, 227, 278, 225) after playing four straight "unders." Like many teams, Minnesota (33-27 O/U) can be an extremely streaky team in the totals market. Next up for the Timberwolves is Thursday's meeting with Houston, the hottest team in the NBA, followed by Friday's date with Chicago.

4. Trail Blazers End String of 7 Straight Losses to Warriors

Rubberband man Damian Lillard and the upstart Portland Trail Blazers (32-26 SU, 28-27-3 ATS) had been completely owned by the defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors in their L7 meetings before Portland won 123-117 as 6-point home underdogs. The next meeting between Portland and Golden State is March 9.

5. 76ers 10-2 ATS L12 Games at Home

The Philadelphia 76ers (30-25 SU, 31-24-0 ATS) lost ATS in a win over Miami on Feb. 14 as 3½-point home chalks, but Philadelphia (18-10-0 ATS at home) is 10-2 ATS their L12 home games. Coach Brett Brown and Philadelphia had won eight straight ATS before the point-spread setback to the Heat. The next home game for the 76ers is Saturday against Orlando.

Free NBA Betworthy Trend Thursday Pick: Timberwolves-Rockets game "over"

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