5 Bet-worthy Trends Heading Into the Christmas Weekend for NBA Betting!

Kevin Stott

Saturday, December 23, 2017 3:37 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 23, 2017 3:37 PM UTC

They were completely out of frankincense, myrrh and gold at the store, but they had plenty of eggnog, fruitcake and fresh NBA Trends so I grabbed you pro Basketball betting freaks a 5-pack of the latter.

1—The Bulls Have Covered 9 Straight ATS Heading Into Saturday's Game at Boston

Eastern Conference Central Division member Bulls (10-21 SU, 18-12-1 ATS) saw their 7-game Win Streak snapped by LeBron James and the Cavaliers in Cleveland on Thursday night in a 115-112 Cavaliers win, but Chicago got the money for an 8th straight time, covering easily as big 10½-point Road Underdogs. During this profitable run for backers of the Bulls, Chicago W6 straight games where it was actually Moneyline Underdogs (CHAR, NY, BOS, JAZZ, MIL, PHIL). On Saturday, Rookie (Arizona) Lauri Markkanen (17.4 ppg) and Chicago will be at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts to face the Eastern Conference-leading Celtics (26-9 SU) on Saturday night in a game which sees host Boston as 7-point Home Favorites (NBSB, NBCH, 7:30 pm PST/4:30 pm PST) with the Total at 206 (Bookmaker).

Head Coach Fred Hoiberg and the Bulls (8,500/1 to win 2018 NBA Championship, 5Dimes) may have started the NBA Regular Season off a frightening 3-20 SU, but this team has really rebounded, starting on Dec. 8, and gelling as a young and new team after losing Jimmy Butler (Timberwolves) and veteran Chicagoan Dwyane Wade (Bought out). The Starting 5 Head Coach Hoiberg put out there against the Cavaliers on Thursday was Markkanen (25 points), Denzel Valentine (18 points), Robin Lopez (18 points), Justin Holliday (8 points, 7 rebounds) and Kris Dunn (10 points, 14 assists) with Nikola Mirotic adding 15 points and 5 boards in his 25:28 of Playing Time coming off the Bulls Bench. After facing Boston on Saturday (BOS -6½, 207, BetOnline), Holliday and the Bulls will get Christmas Eve and Christmas Day holidays off before returning to the hardwood on Tuesday, Dec. 26 to face Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks in Milwaukee (NBA-TV, 8:05 pm EST/5:05 pm PST). Dream big. Eat small.


2—Cavs Have Been a Horrific 2-15-1 ATS at Home in Cleveland at Quicken Loans Arena

What’s the buzz? Tell me what’s happening. What’s the buzz? Tell me what’s happening. The buzz is that King James and the defending Eastern Conference champion Cleveland Cavaliers (+535 to win 2018 NBA Championship, 5Dimes) have been overpriced ATS apparently. After failing to cover against Central Division rivals Chicago—as mentioned above for those with the attention span of a fatigued gnat in hurricane—on Thursday night in Cleveland, the Cavaliers (11-21 ATS) are now an ugly 2-15-1 ATS in its 18 games at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland (11.8%)—despite possessing a nice 14-4 SU mark—and the Cavaliers dropped to 9-15-1 ATS against teams from the Eastern Conference (37.5%). That’s not good. And Cleveland actually has been better in this area of late, with Tristan Thompson and the Cavaliers having gone through a 5-game ATS Losing Streak against Eastern Conference opponents in October and starting the 2017/18 NBA Regular Season off 1-6 ATS its first 7 vs. the Eastern Conference. Waaaah. Waaaaah.

LeBron and Cleveland (2-7 ATS L9) will face the Warriors in Golden State on Christmas Day (ABC, 3:05 pm EST/12:05 pm PST) in a rematch of the NBA Finals, so at least that one’s not at Home? Cleveland is 10-5 SU on the Road (9-6 ATS).


3—Thunder Have Little ATS Boom: Oklahoma City 4-13 ATS L17 Into Jazz on Saturday

Betting against Russell Westbrook, Carmelo Anthony, Paul George and the Thunder (16-15 SU, 10-20-1 ATS) has been profitable these last couple of months, with the Western Conference Midwest Division side going a depressing 4-13 ATS its L17 games (23.5%, even after an ATS Win in its last outing, 107-79 against the Jazz in Oklahoma City on Wednesday night, easily getting the money as 8-point Home Favorites (197). And those two teams will meet again at Vivint Smart Home Arena in Salt Lake City on Saturday night (8 pm EST/5 pm PST, ATRM, FSOK) in a return leg game where the Jazz will be expected to play better against Oklahoma City (5-10 SU on Road).

Oklahoma City (30/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, YouWager) and Head Coach Billy Donovan will be facing a Jazz team which has only been victorious in 2 of its L9 games SU although the large sample size series Trends show Utah is 30-16 SU vs. OKC since 1996 and 24-20 ATS. With the Jazz (15-18 SU, 18-15 ATS) an impressive 12-5 SU at Home in the Beehive State and with Revenge on its mind and sitting in 9th place in the Western Conference, it’s easy to want to back the hosts here but with star Rudy Gobert (Ankle) out and Gordon Hayward gone and in Boston, waiting for a better spot to fade the Thunder—like Christmas Day against the Rockets in Oklahoma City (ABC, 8:05 pm EST/5:05 pm PST)—honestly seems like the best idea. Peace and quiet? Nope.


4—Blazers, Grizzlies Have Been Strong Under Teams, Especially on Home Hardwood

Two teams from the Western Conference, the Memphis Grizzlies and the Portland Trail Blazers, have both played more Unders than Overs with both showing strong tendencies to playing Unders on their Home courts. Heading into Friday, the Grizzlies (2,000/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, YouWager) were off to horrible 9-23 SU start (10-21-1 ATS) and were just 6-12 SU at Home—Memphis is even worse on the Road at 3-11 SU—at the FedExForum in Memphis, playing 13 Unders, 4 Overs and 1 Push in the Totals market in their 18 Home dribbles (76.5%) as oddsmakers and sportsbooks apparently continue to set Griz Totals just a little too high. Away from Tennessee, Memphis has played 9 Unders and 5 Overs, so with a 9-22-1 Totals mark (29%), no doubt looking at Grizzlies Unders is a wise thing when they tip. Memphis will host the Clippers Saturday night in a Western Conference game which sees the Total at 196½ (MEMP -4½, Pinnacle). I got silence on my radio, let the airwaves flow, let the airwaves flow.

And the Trail Blazers (300/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, 5Dimes) have played in equally nonproductive Offensive games also, holding a similar 9-22 (29%) Totals mark at this writing. Portland has at least had a start that has kept them positive and looking toward a possible Playoff spot in the Western Conference at 16-15 (14-5-2 ATS), but Blazers games at the Moda Center in Rip City have been low-scoring, with 12 Unders in 16 games (80%) while Portland has gone 5-10 (33.3%) in the Totals market away from Rose City, meaning they also are an automatic Under look every time they play. Portland will be in Los Angeles on Saturday night at the Staples Center (SPEC, NSNW, 9:30 pm PST/6:30 pm PST) in a good opportunity to test this Trend. Shake it up.


5—Warriors and Knicks Have Both Struggled ATS on Christmas Day, Rockets 5-1 ATS

Last year on Christmas Day in the five scheduled NBA games, the Celtics beat the Knicks 119-114 (BOS -2½, 210½), the Cavaliers defeated the Warriors in Cleveland in an NBA Finals rematch in Cleveland, 109-108 (GSW -3½, 219½), the Spurs dug into the Bulls, 119-100 (SA -9, 199), the host Thunder clapped the Timberwolves, 112-100 (OKC -4, 211½) and the Lakers (11-8 ATS on Christmas Day) downed the Clippers (4-1 ATS L5 Christmas Day) in The Battle For Los Angeles, 111-102 (LAC -2½, 209) meaning Favorites went 3-2. Looking at some specific Christmas Day NBA Trends, we find that Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Kevin Durant and the defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors (-165 to win 2018 NBA Finals, 5Dimes) are a money-burning 1-5 ATS (3-3 SU) after losing SU/ATS to LeBron and the Cavaliers (4-3 ATS on Christmas Day) last Christmas as Cleveland rallied to erase a Yuletide Green-and-Red 14-point 4th Quarter deficit to escape with the 1-point win.

The Knickerbockers (500/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, 5Dimes) fell to 3-7 lifetime SU on December 25th and a woeful 2-8 ATS with the Over 6-3-1 in those 10 holiday games while James Harden and the Rockets (300/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, 5Dimes) are a profitable 6-1 ATS on Christmas while maybe the best Christmas Day Trend involves inter-conference (Eastern Conference vs Western Conference) Christmas Day games and the 5-18-1 Totals mark (21.7%) after the Cavaliers-Warriors game went Under (by 2½ points) and the Bulls-Spurs game went over (by 20 points) last Christmas Day. The Cavaliers-Warriors showdown is the only Christmas Day game in 2017 to fit that deep handicapping dive criteria (CLE 6 straight Christmas Day Unders) . Defending NBA champions are a lump-of-coal-in-your-stocking 4-11-1 ATS on Christmas Day since 1999.

The Lakers have been an Under team on Christmas Day, going 5-12-1 in the Totals market on games played on December 25 when an Old White Man with a white beard who looks like he swallowed a basketball theoretically lands on your rooftop with a sleigh guided by Reindeer to the climb down your chimney to give you a bunch of shit you don’t need on a day the theoretical birthday of the guy the holiday was created for who wasn’t even born on that day. Could I make this crap up? Who needs to be cynical. Anyway, remember to bet the Lakers Under on Monday night when Jimmy Butler, Karl-Anthony Towns, Andrew Wiggins and the Timberwolves (90/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, Heritage) are at the Staples Center (TNT, 10:35 pm EST/7:35 pm PST).


NBA TRENDS PICK FOR SATURDAY: Grizzlies-Clippers Under 196½
Best Lines Available at Pinnacle

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NBA TRENDS PICKS FOR CHRISTMAS MONDAY: Sixers over Knicks, Cavaliers-Warriors Under, Rockets over Thunder
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