5 Bet-Worthy NBA Trends and Weekend Free Picks

Kevin Stott

Saturday, December 30, 2017 6:58 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 30, 2017 6:58 PM UTC

Timberwolves, Cavaliers Have Been Awful ATS So Far in Non-Conference Games. We have uncovered five more fresh NBA Trends for your perusal for the New Year’s Eve weekend, including two teams who have covered just one time so far against Non-Conference opponents as we quickly head toward 2018. 

1—Minnesota Timberwolves Abysmal 1-9 ATS versus Teams From Eastern Conference

An upstart member of the Western Conference Northwest Division—Minneapolis is in the Northwest like John Bonham was in The Beatles—the Minnesota Timberwolves (22-14 SU, 15-19-2 ATS), coached by Tom Thibodeau, have been horrid ATS against teams from the Eastern Conference so far this 2017/18 NBA Regular Season with Karl-Anthony Towns, Andrew Wiggins and Jimmy Butler just 1-9 ATS so far in their Non-Conference slate headed into this weekend. The Timberwolves (125/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, 5Dimes) lone ATS cover vs. an Eastern Conference side came on Nov. 5 against Charlotte in Minneapolis in a 113-94 Wolves Win and ATS cover as modest 5-point Home Favorites. Since then, it’s been 6 consecutive ATS Losses against teams from the Eastern Conference.

Next up for Minnesota (15-19-2 ATS at Home 5-12-1 ATS on Road), a New Year's Eve day game on Sunday at Indianapolis against the Pacers (FSIN, FSN, 5 pm EST/2 pm PST; MIN -3½, 212) and a good opportunity to plug in this Trend. Indiana is 17-7 ATS its L24 against the Northwest Division, 14-5 ATS its L19 Sunday games and when these two met at Minnesota in November, Lance Stephenson, Victor Oladipo and the Pacers rolled to a 130-107 upset as big 11-point Road Underdogs (218).

2—Cavaliers Have Been a Craptastic 1-9-1 ATS Against Non-Conference Foes, at Utah on Saturday

LeBron James and the defending Eastern Conference champion Cavaliers (-140 to win Eastern Conference, 5Dimes) have gone 1-9-1 ATS against the Western Conference so far this season with Cleveland’s lone ATS cover against the Western Conference coming at Houston on Nov. 9, getting 5½ points in a 117-113 loss to James Harden and the Rockets. After pushing the next game as 7-point Road Underdogs in Dallas (DAL 111 CLE 104), the Cavaliers have proceeded to L6 straight ATS on the Road to Western Conference foes and along with a pathetic 2-15-1 ATS mark at Home in Cleveland, this has been a good team to fade in the right spots.

Up next for King James, Tristan Thompson, Kevin Love and Cleveland (1-7 ATS L8), a Western Conference opponent on the Road—where Cleveland has performed average ATS (9-8) at Vivint Smart Home Arena in Salt Lake City on Saturday night (ATRM, FSOH, 8 pm EST/5 pm PST; CLE -3½ -107, 207½, 5Dimes) in an opportunity to back this Trend although remember that C Rudy Gobert (Ankle) is out for the host Jazz (as is Isaiah Thomas (Hip) for Cleveland). The Cavaliers are 10-7 SU on the Road, having L2 straight (@GS, @SAC). Lean Utah (+147 Moneyline, Pinnacle).

3—Brooklyn Nets 0-4 ATS vs. Atlantic Division, -11.9 ppg vs. ATS Into Celtics Game on Sunday

The Nets (13-22 SU, 22-15 ATS) may be surprising some at the betting windows, but Brooklyn (3-7 SU L10) has gone 0-4 ATS within its own Atlantic Division so far, losing to the Point Spread by an average of 11.9 ppg in two meetings with the Knickerbockers (17-18 SU) and one each game against the Celtics (29-10 SU) and Raptors (24-10 SU):

Brooklyn (3500/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, YouWager) and Head Coach Kenny Atkinson will be facing Boston on Sunday at TD Garden (YES, NBSB, 5:30 pm EST/2:30 pm PST; BOS -10½) in what seems like a good spot to back Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum and the host C’s although Brooklyn is 10-4 ATS its L14 on the Road. On the January schedule, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (14.8 ppg), Spencer Dinwiddie (6.4 apg), DeMarre Carroll (6.7 rpg) and the Nets (10-5-1 ATS as Road Underdogs) will be playing four games against Atlantic Division foes: vs. Boston on Jan. 6, vs. Toronto on Jan. 8, vs. New York on Jan. 15 and at New York at MSG on Jan. 30.

4—Spurs Have Been Very Good ATS at Home in San Antonio, But Poor ATS on the Road

Kawhi Leonard and Western Conference powerhouse San Antonio have been a good team on which to bet on at Home (13-5-1 ATS, 72.2%) and a good team to fade on the Road (6-11 ATS, 35.3%) with San Antonio a combined 24-11-1 ATS in that particular role. Head Coach Gregg Popovich and the Spurs (+2150 to win 2018 NBA Finals, BetDSI) headed into action Saturday an impressive 17-2 SU at Home at the AT&T Center in San Antonio but 8-9 SU on the Road. (Note: Spurs Road Unders are 13-4). In their last game, LaMarcus Aldridge, Manu Ginobili and the the Spurs beat the Knicks in San Antonio, 119-107 (SA -10, 199) on Thursday night.

Next up for Southwest Division members San Antonio (12/1 to win Western Conference, Bookmaker)—who have covered 3 straight (scoring 100+ points in all three) and W5 of 6 ATS—an inter-conference game at Detroit vs. the Pistons at Detroit on Saturday night (TV, TIME; SA -5, 195½, Heritage) as the Spurs will begin a key stretch of 7 games on the Road in 8 dates. Series Trends show San Antonio is a perfect 5-0 ATS the L5 vs.Detroit and 4-1 ATS.

5—Chicago Bulls a Profitable 18-4 ATS vs. Eastern Conference This Season, at Wizards on Sunday

The Bulls (13-22 SU, 21-12-1 ATS) have been doing very good ATS lately, now getting the money at the betting windows in 10 of their L11 games into Friday night's game at Chicago (CHI -3), which saw Lauri Markkanen and the Bulls beat the Pacers, 119-107 to improve to a profitable 18-4 ATS their L22 games against the Eastern Conference (81.8%). Third-year Head Coach and former Iowa State star Fred Hoiberg and the Bulls (5,000/1 to win 2018 NBA Championship, JustBet) started the 2017/18 NBA Regular Season off 3-20 SU, but have gone 10-2 SU in its L12 games since then to quickly gain some respectability after seeing veteran players like Jimmy Butler, Dwyane Wade, Joakim Noah, Pau Gasol, Doug McDermott and Derrick Rose all leave The Windy City over the past couple of seasons.

On Sunday, Markkanen (14.2 ppg. 7.4 rpg), Denzel Valentine, Robin Lopez, Justin Holliday, Kris Dunn, Nikola Mirotic, Bobby Portis and the new-look Central Division Baby Bulls (+6.2 ppg vs ATS in Eastern Conference) head to Capital One Arena in Washington, DC to face John Wall and the Southeast Division member Wizards (19-16 SU, 17-18 ATS) in an interesting Eastern Conference game and what should be a tough test for the visitors (NSWA, NBCH, 3:30 pm EST/12:30 pm PST).

Bet-Worthy NBA Pick for Sunday: Bulls +7.5
Best Line Available at Pinnacle (-103)[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3263824, "sportsbooksIds":[238,169,19,43,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Bonus Bet-Worthy NBA Picks for Sunday: Pacers +3½ over Timberwolves, Celtics -10½ over Nets (BetOnline)

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