40-11 NBA Betting Angle Strongly Favors Underdog Portland Over OKC

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, February 5, 2017 5:02 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 5, 2017 5:02 PM UTC

Are you looking to make some extra cash today prior to Super Bowl kickoff? Well look no farther than this betting preview article by NBA handicapping professional Ross Benjamin.

Portland Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City entertains Portland on Super Bowl Sunday at 3:05 PM ET. Currently, the best sportsbooks all agree on the point spread and total in this contest. Oklahoma City is a 4.5-point favorite and there’s a posted total of 216.5.

This will be the second meeting of the season between these teams. Portland was a 114-95 winner at home over Oklahoma City on 12/13/16. The Timberwolves easily covered that contest as a 2.5-point favorite, and it stayed way under the total of 219.0.


Previous Game Results Prompts Profitable Betting System

Oklahoma City was a 114-102 winner at home against Memphis on Friday night, and did so as a 1.0-point underdog. Conversely, Portland was a 108-104 loser as a 6.5-point favorite to Dallas in their previous game. Those 2 results set up an extremely profitable NBA betting system illustrated below.

Any road team (Portland) coming off a straight up favorite loss in their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Oklahoma City) coming off a home underdog straight up win in their last game, resulted in those road teams going 40-11 (78.4%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Considering this betting angle favors the road underdog, those straight up numbers take on added significance. This type of strong data is hard for me to ignore when making my NBA picks.


Final Analysis and Pick

The NBA betting odds on this game makes my antennas point due north. Let me explain why. Oklahoma City is 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 home games versus Western Conference opponents, and won by a decisive average of 13.9 points per outing. Contrarily, Portland is a dismal 4-10 ATS in their previous 14 road contests. Yet, Oklahoma City is just a 4.5-point home favorite. Despite 61.9% of early public betting siding with Oklahoma City, there’s been no point spread movement. If it looks too good to be true, then most times it is.

Free NBA Pick: Portland +4.5 (-105) Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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