2017 NBA Finals Game 2 Odds & Free Picks: Cavaliers vs Warriors

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors  Game 1

Jason Lake

Friday, June 2, 2017 3:29 PM GMT

After thumping the Cleveland Cavaliers (+7.5 away) in Game 1 of the Finals, the Golden State Warriors have opened at –8 on the NBA odds board for Game 2 on Sunday.

My goodness. The Golden State Warriors are off to a flying start in the 2017 NBA Finals; they hammered the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers 113-91 in Thursday’s opener, cashing in as 7.5-point home faves on the closing line. We had them at –7, so yay us. Sharp bettors also cashed in the UNDER on the ginormous 225-point total. Well done.

The lines for Game 2 this Sunday (8:00 p.m. ET, ABC) went up very quickly on the NBA odds board, and Golden State opened at –8 before moving to –8.5 at most locations. Maybe there’s some value on the Cavaliers at this price. Or maybe we should look at that total, which has dipped to 221.5 points under heavy pressure from UNDER bettors. That’s still a giant-ass total, though. Hmmm.
 

20 Skidoo

There is a third option: The Cavaliers are +320 on the moneyline, up from +255 at the open, and our early consensus reports show 100 percent support for Cleveland straight-up. But according to Wizard of Odds, +320 is about the same as +7.5 against the spread, vigorish not included. If we’re going to put the Cavs in our NBA picks as a bounce-back commodity, it should be at +8.5 (or higher).

It’s plausible. The Cavs committed 20 turnovers Thursday night, and Golden State tied an NBA record with just four, so there’s room for regression there. I’m not sold, though. Both teams shot in the mid-30s from behind the arc, and both teams blew a number of lay-ups, so we don’t really have anything working for us aside from those turnovers – and whatever adjustments Cleveland makes, of course.

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Cavs can't get away with playing RJ and Korver at the same time, especially with LBJ at the 5.

— Haralabos Voulgaris (@haralabob) June 2, 2017
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Those missed shots do make the OVER a tempting pick, though, and now that the total has fallen to a somewhat more reasonable number, I think that’s where the value is for Game 2. Cleveland shot better from 3-point range (35.5 percent) than 2-point range (34.9 percent), for crying out loud. Klay Thompson and Draymond Green were a combined 6-of-28 for the Dubs. Yup, let’s take the OVER for Sunday and see what happens. They zig, we zag.



Free NBA Pick: OVER 221 (–110)Best Line Offered:: at The Greek

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