11/5 NBA Picks of the Day: Against the Spread & On the Total

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, November 5, 2014 5:08 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2014 5:08 PM UTC

After a larger card on Tuesday, Wednesday’s NBA odds bring a ton of games, and a ton of value. I have found three games that I feel great about today, so follow along as I release my three free NBA Picks of the day.

Raptors vs. Celtics
Last night the Toronto Raptors took care of a banged up Thunder team, and now they have to go on the road into Boston to face the Celtics. The NBA Odds actually have the Celtics as favorites with Toronto coming off the back to back, however it’s only at -1, with a total of 205. The total is actually the most interesting part of this line, as it’s shot up three points since opening late last night. However I am more interested in the spread, and even off of  the back to back, the Raptors are the play here.

The Celtics are a team on the rise, but they do not yet have the bench to keep up with the Raptors once the starters come out of the game. Even with the injury to Amir Johnson, the Patrick Patterson has filled in nicely for the Raptors, and I expect him to again here tonight. Take the point with Toronto for one of today's NBA picks.

Free NBA Pick: Raptors +1

Check out our betting odds report for more top-value NBA picks.

Timberwolves vs. Nets
Brooklyn is looking strong to start the season, and if Brook Lopez can stay healthy all season, this team may be reckoned with in the East. Tonight they are back at home to welcome in the Timberwolves, and the NBA odds have the Nets as a -5 favorite, with a total of 207. Even with a steady stable of big men for the Wolves, they are going to have trouble with Lopez tonight. In his season debut on Monday, Lopez started slow, but ended the game with 18 points in just 24 minutes. Even though he’ll probably be on the same kind of minutes restriction for some time, imagine what he can do for the Nets’ offense is he stays healthy.

Tonight the Nets should have no issues covering this spread. The Nets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games as favorites between -5 and -10, while the Wolves are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog dating back to last season.

Free NBA Pick: Nets -5


Nuggets vs. Kings
Both of these teams have been playing pretty well this season, and they hook up in Sacramento tonight. The NBA odds have the Kings as -3 ½ home favorites, but the total of 202 points is where my energies are focused. Despite both teams looking better on the defensive end, this game will not be a defensive contest. It should be an up and down game with plenty of running, and the total of 202 is simply too low for these teams’ styles of play.

The over is 12-5 dating back to last season for the Nuggets when they have one day of rest in between games, and the over is 4-1 in their last five games as a road underdog between +1/2 and +5. The Kings will have little problem scoring down low against this team and after their meeting just a few nights ago in Denver went way over the total at 110-105, this game should be no different. Look for both teams to get over 100 points, and for the over to be your friend this evening.

Free NBA Pick: OVER 202 at 5 Dimes Sportsbook

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