Bucks/Pacers NBA Picks: Bet League's Best Defensive Team ATS

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, March 12, 2015 7:49 PM GMT

NBA odds tonight are offering bettors a point spread of 6.5 points as the Milwaukee Bucks face the Indiana Pacers. Find out what the most profitable strategy to use here is.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers (-7-) 7:05 ET
The Milwaukee Bucks are underdogs in NBA odds as they visit the Indiana Pacers for this 7:05 ET clash, featuring a pair of Eastern Conference divisional opponents.  These two teams have met twice this season with the road team winning outright on each occasion.  THAT ALL CHANGES TONIGHT!   This is a battle of teams who are vying for the final playoff spots in the Eastern Conference playoff queue.  Currently, Milwaukee is 34-30 SU, a record that is good enough to hold a 4 ½ game lead for the 6th spot in the playoffs against an Indiana team who is 29-34 SU for the season.  But, the current form of these teams belies their season performance to date.  Many teams changed character at the trade deadline.  These teams were among them as the following analysis will show.  

Milwaukee cruised through the first half of the season as one of the biggest over achievers in the NBA, behind 1st year HC Jason Kidd.   The Bucks were 21-7 ATS away.  Kidd pushed all the right buttons, including the way in which he mentored PG Brandon Knight.  But, the chemistry all changed when the Bucks dealt Knight at the trade deadline and acquired former Philadelphia PG Michael Carter-Williams.  Since that time, Milwaukee fortunes have plummeted.  To wit, Milwaukee is just 3-7 SU in their previous 10 games.  Each of these teams played lowly Orlando in their most recent game this week.  While the Bucks were struggling to get past the Magic by a count of 97-91, Indiana blew them away the previous night by a count of 118-86.  

That win vs. Orlando extended Indiana’s current streak to 12-2 SU, 11-3 ATS, including 6 straight consecutive victories.  That win was also the Pacers’ 9th consecutive cover on this court.  The turnaround for an Indiana team who is struggling without their best player (injured Paul George) and their glue guy (PG George Hill) got good news about both.   The Indiana win streak, coincided with Hill to the lineup and the news that Paul George had recovered sufficiently from his gruesome off-season injury to allow his return before the end of the regular season.  Immediately, the Pacers began to play with more cohesion and desire. Nowhere has that been exemplified more than on the defensive end, where in the last 5 games, Indiana has allowed their opponents to average just 83 PPG on 38% shooting.  As a result, Indiana is the NBA’s best defensive team, allowing just 96 PPG.  

At this reasonable price, on their strong home court, we will gladly place our NBA picks tonight on Indiana in a matchup of two teams headed opposite directions. Extra motivation comes from the fact that Indiana is still looking up at Milwaukee in the standings.

NBA Picks: Take Indiana Pacers at 5Dimes

Parlay a pair of NBA picks together for maximum profit today!